ICL

ICL Group Ltd

50
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ICL's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 11%, but free cash flow fell 34%. At 19x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 18x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ICL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

ICL's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ICL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE193x387x580x774x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE193x387x580x774x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.3x$1.51-67%
Forward11x$4.59—
Fair18x$4.24-7.6%
Current19x$4.59—
Expensive31x$7.55+64%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ICL's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

ICL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ICL, with profitability holding steady.

ICL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$5.98
Downside-19%$3.71

Calculated from the latest close: $4.59 on Nov 12.

ICL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +30% against −19%.

ICL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.68Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.36Q2 2024: $0.33Q3 2024: $0.32Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.31Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.42
Q3 2023: $0.68Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.36Q2 2024: $0.33Q3 2024: $0.32Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.31Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.42+76%
Q2 2026$0.24-17%
Q1 2026$0.20-35%
Q4 2025$0.17-47%
Q3 2025$0.29-9.4%
Q2 2025$0.29-12%
Q1 2025$0.31-14%
Q4 2024$0.32-33%
Q3 2024$0.32-53%

ICL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.24 over the past year, against $1.67 in late 2022.

ICL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.9BQ4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.1B
Q3 2023: $1.9BQ4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.1B+17%
Q1 2026$2B+14%
Q4 2025$1.7B+6.2%
Q3 2025$1.9B+5.7%
Q2 2025$1.8B+4.6%
Q1 2025$1.8B+1.8%
Q4 2024$1.6B-5.3%
Q3 2024$1.8B-5.9%

ICL's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $2.1B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ICL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $235MQ4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: $147MQ2 2024: $174MQ3 2024: $249MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $67MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $93M
Q3 2023: $235MQ4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: $147MQ2 2024: $174MQ3 2024: $249MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $67MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $93M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$93M+39%
Q1 2026$45M+$70M
Q4 2025$25M-83%
Q3 2025$128M-49%
Q2 2025$67M-61%
Q1 2025-$25M-117%
Q4 2024$146.9M-8.2%
Q3 2024$249M+6%

ICL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $291M over the past year.

ICL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.3BQ4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3B
Q3 2023: 1.3BQ4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+23K shares
1 year-0.1%-1.4M shares
3 years0%-92K shares
5 years+0.4%+5M shares
Available history+0.5%+7M shares

ICL has 1.3B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ICL Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.1xQ4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.9x
Q3 2023: 1.1xQ4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.0xModerate
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy

ICL's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

ICL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic12.9Oversold

ICL's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ICL PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricICLSector medianRelative
PE19x19x2.7% above
PE %574017 pts above

ICL is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

ICL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.855.4% below
20 week MA$5.1611% below
50 week MA$5.3414% below
100 week MA$5.7520% below
200 week MA$5.5417% below

ICL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

ICL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.69$4.690%
2021$4.69$9.51+103%
2022$9.51$7.38-22%
2023$7.38$5.01-32%
2024$5.01$4.79-4.4%
2025$4.79$5.54+16%
2026 YTD$5.54$4.59-17%

ICL has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

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