ICFI

ICF International, Inc.

67
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

ICFI has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ICFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

ICFI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ICFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$82.22—
Current15x$82.22—
Cheap16x$87.25+6.1%
Fair25x$135+64%
Expensive32x$171+109%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ICFI's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ICFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ICFI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over ICFI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ICFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$108.76
Downside-17%$67.86

Calculated from the latest close: $82.22 on Nov 12.

ICFI trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ICFI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ICFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.35Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $5.21Q3 2024: $5.69Q4 2024: $5.82Q1 2025: $5.82Q2 2025: $5.74Q3 2025: $5.29Q4 2025: $4.95Q1 2026: $4.63Q2 2026: $4.84Q3 2026: $5.32Forward: $7.49
Q4 2023: $4.35Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $5.21Q3 2024: $5.69Q4 2024: $5.82Q1 2025: $5.82Q2 2025: $5.74Q3 2025: $5.29Q4 2025: $4.95Q1 2026: $4.63Q2 2026: $4.84Q3 2026: $5.32Forward: $7.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.49+41%
Q3 2026$5.32+0.6%
Q2 2026$4.84-16%
Q1 2026$4.63-20%
Q4 2025$4.95-15%
Q3 2025$5.29-7%
Q2 2025$5.74+10%
Q1 2025$5.82+18%
Q4 2024$5.82+34%

ICFI has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

ICFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $478MQ1 2024: $494MQ2 2024: $512MQ3 2024: $517MQ4 2024: $496MQ1 2025: $488MQ2 2025: $476MQ3 2025: $465MQ4 2025: $444MQ1 2026: $438MQ2 2026: $474MQ3 2026: $470M
Q4 2023: $478MQ1 2024: $494MQ2 2024: $512MQ3 2024: $517MQ4 2024: $496MQ1 2025: $488MQ2 2025: $476MQ3 2025: $465MQ4 2025: $444MQ1 2026: $438MQ2 2026: $474MQ3 2026: $470M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$470.5M+1.1%
Q2 2026$474.5M-0.3%
Q1 2026$437.5M-10%
Q4 2025$443.7M-11%
Q3 2025$465.4M-10%
Q2 2025$476.2M-7%
Q1 2025$487.6M-1.4%
Q4 2024$496.3M+3.8%

ICFI's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $470M last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ICFI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ICFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: −$36MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $30M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: −$36MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29.6M-29%
Q2 2026$94M+103%
Q1 2026-$6M+$30.5M
Q4 2025$68.7M-23%
Q3 2025$41.8M+105%
Q1 2025-$36.5M-$21.3M
Q4 2024$89.5M-13%
Q3 2024$20.4M-2.6%

ICFI has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ICFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+7K shares
1 year-2.5%-471K shares
3 years-4.8%-919K shares
5 years-5.3%-1M shares
Available history-6.1%-1.2M shares

ICFI has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ICFI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.0xModerate

ICFI's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ICFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic36.9Neutral

ICFI's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ICFI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricICFISector medianRelative
PE15x24x36% below
PE %135845 pts below

ICFI is trading at 15x earnings, a 36% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ICFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$86.85.2% below
20 week MA$85.43.7% below
50 week MA$80.32.4% above
100 week MA$86.75.2% below
200 week MA$110.726% below

ICFI's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over ICFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ICFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.2$74.6-19%
2021$74.6$101.1+35%
2022$101.1$98.6-2.5%
2023$98.6$134.1+36%
2024$134.1$118.5-12%
2025$118.5$86.2-27%
2026 YTD$86.2$82.2-4.6%

ICFI has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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