ICFI
ICF International, Inc.
ICFI has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ICFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ICFI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ICFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $82.22 | — |
| Current | 15x | $82.22 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $87.25 | +6.1% |
| Fair | 25x | $135 | +64% |
| Expensive | 32x | $171 | +109% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ICFI's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ICFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ICFI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over ICFI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
ICFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.49 | +41% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.32 | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.84 | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.63 | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.95 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.29 | -7% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.74 | +10% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.82 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.82 | +34% |
ICFI has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
ICFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $470.5M | +1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $474.5M | -0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $437.5M | -10% |
| Q4 2025 | $443.7M | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $465.4M | -10% |
| Q2 2025 | $476.2M | -7% |
| Q1 2025 | $487.6M | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $496.3M | +3.8% |
ICFI's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $470M last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | +1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.4% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.5% | -0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.4% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.3% | -0.4 points |
ICFI has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over ICFI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ICFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.6M | -29% |
| Q2 2026 | $94M | +103% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6M | +$30.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $68.7M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.8M | +105% |
| Q1 2025 | -$36.5M | -$21.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $89.5M | -13% |
| Q3 2024 | $20.4M | -2.6% |
ICFI has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
ICFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +7K shares |
| 1 year | -2.5% | -471K shares |
| 3 years | -4.8% | -919K shares |
| 5 years | -5.3% | -1M shares |
| Available history | -6.1% | -1.2M shares |
ICFI has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $379,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $14.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $18.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $15.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $199,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $29,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $16.8M |
ICFI spent $49M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 13% from the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ICFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.0x | Moderate |
ICFI's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ICFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.9 | Neutral |
ICFI's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ICFI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ICFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 24x | 36% below |
| PE % | 13 | 58 | 45 pts below |
ICFI is trading at 15x earnings, a 36% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ICFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $86.8 | 5.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $85.4 | 3.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $80.3 | 2.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $86.7 | 5.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $110.7 | 26% below |
ICFI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
ICFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $92.2 | $74.6 | -19% |
| 2021 | $74.6 | $101.1 | +35% |
| 2022 | $101.1 | $98.6 | -2.5% |
| 2023 | $98.6 | $134.1 | +36% |
| 2024 | $134.1 | $118.5 | -12% |
| 2025 | $118.5 | $86.2 | -27% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.2 | $82.2 | -4.6% |
ICFI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 4.6% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over ICFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.