ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ICE's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 12% and earnings per share grew 34%. At 24x earnings, it's trading below its usual 29x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

ICE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

ICE's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ICE.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

ICE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$178โ€”
Cheap22x$165-7.5%
Current24x$178โ€”
Fair28x$209+17%
Expensive37x$271+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ICE's PE is in its cheap range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ICE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

ICE has the edge over IREN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ICE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$205.86
Downside-11%$157.81

Calculated from the latest close: $177.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ICE and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ICE and IREN's risk to reward.

ICE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.19Q1 2024: $4.35Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $4.21Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $5.21Q3 2025: $5.49Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $6.87Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $8.59
Q4 2023: $4.19Q1 2024: $4.35Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $4.21Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $5.21Q3 2025: $5.49Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $6.87Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $8.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.59+17%
Q3 2026$7.33+34%
Q2 2026$7.08+36%
Q1 2026$6.87+42%
Q4 2025$5.77+21%
Q3 2025$5.49+30%
Q2 2025$5.21+29%
Q1 2025$4.83+11%
Q4 2024$4.78+14%

ICE has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ICE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.6B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.6B+21%
Q2 2026$3.6B+11%
Q1 2026$3.7B+14%
Q4 2025$3.1B+3.7%
Q3 2025$3B-0.9%
Q2 2025$3.3B+13%
Q1 2025$3.2B+15%
Q4 2024$3B+14%

ICE's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $3.6B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ICE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $883MQ1 2024: $951MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $819MQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $881MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $853MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $883MQ1 2024: $951MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $819MQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $881MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $853MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+23%
Q2 2026$1.9B+28%
Q1 2026$1.3B+43%
Q4 2025$1.1B-15%
Q3 2025$853M+4.2%
Q2 2025$1.4B+29%
Q1 2025$881M-7.4%
Q4 2024$1.3B+49%

ICE has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

ICE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 565MQ1 2024: 575MQ2 2024: 575MQ3 2024: 577MQ4 2024: 576MQ1 2025: 577MQ2 2025: 575MQ3 2025: 574MQ4 2025: 575MQ1 2026: 570MQ2 2026: 566MQ3 2026: 563M
Q4 2023: 565MQ1 2024: 575MQ2 2024: 575MQ3 2024: 577MQ4 2024: 576MQ1 2025: 577MQ2 2025: 575MQ3 2025: 574MQ4 2025: 575MQ1 2026: 570MQ2 2026: 566MQ3 2026: 563M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-3M shares
1 year-1.9%-11M shares
3 years-0.4%-2M shares
5 years-0.5%-3M shares
Available history-0.4%-2M shares

ICE has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ICE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.0xElevated
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20244.0xElevated

ICE's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ICE.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

ICE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.5Neutral
Stochastic88.9Overbought

ICE's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ICE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricICESector medianRelative
PE24x13x86% above
PE %286335 pts below

ICE is trading at 24x earnings, a 86% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ICE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.09.1% above
20 week MA$155.614% above
50 week MA$156.614% above
100 week MA$162.09.8% above
200 week MA$144.923% above

ICE has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

ICE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.0$112.7+21%
2021$112.7$135.8+21%
2022$135.8$102.8-24%
2023$102.8$128.4+25%
2024$128.4$150.3+17%
2025$150.3$163.5+8.8%
2026 YTD$163.5$177.9+8.8%

ICE has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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