IBP

Installed Building Products, Inc.

45
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

IBP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over IBP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

IBP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

IBP's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

IBP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$151-33%
Fair24x$214-4.3%
Forward24x$224—
Current26x$224—
Expensive33x$292+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBP has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

IBP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect IBP's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over IBP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

IBP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$278.66
Downside-29%$159.24

Calculated from the latest close: $223.76 on Nov 12.

IBP trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IBP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IBP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.61Q1 2024: $8.84Q2 2024: $8.96Q3 2024: $9.00Q4 2024: $9.10Q1 2025: $8.77Q2 2025: $8.99Q3 2025: $9.29Q4 2025: $9.71Q1 2026: $9.36Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $8.77Forward: $9.38
Q4 2023: $8.61Q1 2024: $8.84Q2 2024: $8.96Q3 2024: $9.00Q4 2024: $9.10Q1 2025: $8.77Q2 2025: $8.99Q3 2025: $9.29Q4 2025: $9.71Q1 2026: $9.36Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $8.77Forward: $9.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.38+6.9%
Q3 2026$8.77-5.6%
Q2 2026$9.27+3.1%
Q1 2026$9.36+6.7%
Q4 2025$9.71+6.7%
Q3 2025$9.29+3.2%
Q2 2025$8.99+0.3%
Q1 2025$8.77-0.8%
Q4 2024$9.10+5.7%

IBP has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

IBP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $721MQ1 2024: $693MQ2 2024: $738MQ3 2024: $761MQ4 2024: $750MQ1 2025: $685MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $748MQ1 2026: $661MQ2 2026: $778MQ3 2026: $808M
Q4 2023: $721MQ1 2024: $693MQ2 2024: $738MQ3 2024: $761MQ4 2024: $750MQ1 2025: $685MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $748MQ1 2026: $661MQ2 2026: $778MQ3 2026: $808M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$808.4M+3.9%
Q2 2026$777.8M+2.3%
Q1 2026$660.5M-3.5%
Q4 2025$747.5M-0.4%
Q3 2025$778.2M+2.3%
Q2 2025$760.3M+3.1%
Q1 2025$684.8M-1.2%
Q4 2024$750.2M+4.1%

IBP has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

IBP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $105MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $86MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $105MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $86MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$58.3M-44%
Q2 2026$51.9M-31%
Q1 2026$85.7M+19%
Q4 2025$49.3M-6.8%
Q3 2025$104.8M+36%
Q2 2025$74.8M+29%
Q1 2025$71.9M+14%
Q4 2024$52.9M-29%

IBP has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

IBP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-206K shares
1 year-2.5%-666K shares
3 years-6.4%-1.8M shares
5 years-11%-3.1M shares
Available history-11%-3.4M shares

IBP has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

IBP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

IBP's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over IBP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IBP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.4Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

IBP's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

IBP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricIBPSector medianRelative
PE26x18x42% above
PE %52475 pts above

IBP has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

IBP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$202.610% above
20 week MA$218.52.4% above
50 week MA$249.910% below
100 week MA$227.41.6% below
200 week MA$201.611% above

IBP's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over IBP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IBP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.1$108.7+57%
2021$108.7$139.0+28%
2022$139.0$87.5-37%
2023$87.5$182.8+109%
2024$182.8$174.3-4.6%
2025$174.3$267.2+53%
2026 YTD$267.2$223.8-16%

IBP has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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