IBP

Installed Building Products, Inc.

45
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

IBP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over IBP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

IBP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

IBP's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

IBP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$151-33%
Fair24x$214-4.3%
Forward24x$224—
Current26x$224—
Expensive33x$292+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBP's PE is in its fair range at 26x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24x.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect IBP's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IBP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$278.66
Downside-29%$159.24

Calculated from the latest close: $223.76 on Nov 12.

IBP trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IBP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IBP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.61Q1 2024: $8.84Q2 2024: $8.96Q3 2024: $9.00Q4 2024: $9.10Q1 2025: $8.77Q2 2025: $8.99Q3 2025: $9.29Q4 2025: $9.71Q1 2026: $9.36Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $8.77Forward: $9.38
Q4 2023: $8.61Q1 2024: $8.84Q2 2024: $8.96Q3 2024: $9.00Q4 2024: $9.10Q1 2025: $8.77Q2 2025: $8.99Q3 2025: $9.29Q4 2025: $9.71Q1 2026: $9.36Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $8.77Forward: $9.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.38+6.9%
Q3 2026$8.77-5.6%
Q2 2026$9.27+3.1%
Q1 2026$9.36+6.7%
Q4 2025$9.71+6.7%
Q3 2025$9.29+3.2%
Q2 2025$8.99+0.3%
Q1 2025$8.77-0.8%
Q4 2024$9.10+5.7%

IBP has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

IBP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $721MQ1 2024: $693MQ2 2024: $738MQ3 2024: $761MQ4 2024: $750MQ1 2025: $685MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $748MQ1 2026: $661MQ2 2026: $778MQ3 2026: $808M
Q4 2023: $721MQ1 2024: $693MQ2 2024: $738MQ3 2024: $761MQ4 2024: $750MQ1 2025: $685MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $748MQ1 2026: $661MQ2 2026: $778MQ3 2026: $808M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$808.4M+3.9%
Q2 2026$777.8M+2.3%
Q1 2026$660.5M-3.5%
Q4 2025$747.5M-0.4%
Q3 2025$778.2M+2.3%
Q2 2025$760.3M+3.1%
Q1 2025$684.8M-1.2%
Q4 2024$750.2M+4.1%

IBP's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $808M last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over IBP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IBP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $105MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $86MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $105MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $86MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$58.3M-44%
Q2 2026$51.9M-31%
Q1 2026$85.7M+19%
Q4 2025$49.3M-6.8%
Q3 2025$104.8M+36%
Q2 2025$74.8M+29%
Q1 2025$71.9M+14%
Q4 2024$52.9M-29%

IBP has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

IBP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-206K shares
1 year-2.5%-666K shares
3 years-6.4%-1.8M shares
5 years-11%-3.1M shares
Available history-11%-3.4M shares

IBP has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

IBP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

IBP's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

IBP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.4Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

IBP's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

IBP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricIBPSector medianRelative
PE26x18x42% above
PE %52475 pts above

IBP is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$202.610% above
20 week MA$218.52.4% above
50 week MA$249.910% below
100 week MA$227.41.6% below
200 week MA$201.611% above

IBP has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

IBP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.1$108.7+57%
2021$108.7$139.0+28%
2022$139.0$87.5-37%
2023$87.5$182.8+109%
2024$182.8$174.3-4.6%
2025$174.3$267.2+53%
2026 YTD$267.2$223.8-16%

IBP has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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