IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IBM's fundamentals are strong: it turned 21% of its revenue into free cash flow and earnings per share grew 40%. At 21x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

OPEN

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OPEN yet.

IBM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

OPEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

OPEN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like OPEN.

IBM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$194-21%
Forward19x$245โ€”
Current21x$245โ€”
Fair23x$274+12%
Expensive46x$538+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

OPEN PE Valuation

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

OPEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OPEN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IBM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$307.43
Downside-15%$206.85

Calculated from the latest close: $244.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IBM and OPEN's risk to reward.

OPEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IBM and OPEN's risk to reward.

IBM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.06+11%
Q3 2026$11.75+40%
Q2 2026$11.29+83%
Q1 2026$11.33+94%
Q4 2025$11.17+74%
Q3 2025$8.38+22%
Q2 2025$6.18-32%
Q1 2025$5.83-34%
Q4 2024$6.43-21%

IBM has the edge over OPEN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OPEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.00-$1.56
Q2 2026-$1.89-$1.46
Q1 2026-$1.76-$1.24
Q4 2025-$1.70-$1.14
Q3 2025-$0.44+$0.09
Q2 2025-$0.43+$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.52-$0.10
Q4 2024-$0.56-$0.14

OPEN lost $2.00 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last five quarters.

IBM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$17.1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$17.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+9.5%
Q4 2025$19.7B+12%
Q3 2025$16.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$17B+7.7%
Q1 2025$14.5B+0.5%
Q4 2024$17.6B+1%

IBM has the edge over OPEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OPEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+12%
Q2 2026$883M-44%
Q1 2026$720M-38%
Q4 2025$736M-32%
Q3 2025$915M-34%
Q2 2025$1.6B+3.7%
Q1 2025$1.2B-2.4%
Q4 2024$1.1B+25%

OPEN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

IBM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+31%
Q2 2026$2.4B+59%
Q1 2026$4.9B+20%
Q4 2025$3.7B-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.8B+8.9%
Q2 2025$1.5B-19%
Q1 2025$4.1B+5%
Q4 2024$4B-3.3%

IBM has the edge over OPEN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OPEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$186MQ2 2024: โˆ’$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: โˆ’$83MQ1 2025: โˆ’$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: โˆ’$250MQ2 2026: โˆ’$723MQ3 2026: โˆ’$836M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$186MQ2 2024: โˆ’$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: โˆ’$83MQ1 2025: โˆ’$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: โˆ’$250MQ2 2026: โˆ’$723MQ3 2026: โˆ’$836M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$836M-294%
Q2 2026-$723M-188%
Q1 2026-$250M+$33M
Q4 2025$67M+$150M
Q3 2025$432M+671%
Q2 2025$821M+$1.2B
Q1 2025-$283M-$97M
Q4 2024-$83M+$468M

OPEN's free cash flow was โˆ’$1.7B over the past year, against $887M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

IBM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+260K shares
1 year+0.5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.2%+29.9M shares
5 years+5.3%+47.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+19.6M shares

IBM has the edge over OPEN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OPEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-16.3M shares
1 year+30%+220M shares
3 years+42%+282M shares
5 years+61%+361M shares
Available history+1042%+866M shares

OPEN has 949M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.

IBM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

OPEN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022337.2xHigh

OPEN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

IBM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

OPEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.6Oversold
Stochastic1.2Oversold

OPEN's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

IBM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %31354 pts below

IBM is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OPEN PE vs Real Estate Sector

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.62.6% above
20 week MA$239.32.2% above
50 week MA$256.64.6% below
100 week MA$258.55.3% below
200 week MA$212.315% above

IBM has the edge over OPEN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OPEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.9737% below
20 week MA$3.0059% below
50 week MA$4.3772% below
100 week MA$3.7467% below
200 week MA$3.1360% below

OPEN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 200-week average.

IBM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.3$119.2-7.8%
2021$119.2$130.6+9.6%
2022$130.6$141.7+8.4%
2023$141.7$163.6+15%
2024$163.6$222.8+36%
2025$222.8$305.1+37%
2026 YTD$305.1$244.7-20%

IBM has the edge over OPEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OPEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$27.4+150%
2021$27.4$14.9-46%
2022$14.9$1.02-93%
2023$1.02$4.48+339%
2024$4.48$1.67-63%
2025$1.67$6.01+260%
2026 YTD$6.01$1.24-79%

OPEN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +339% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 79% so far in 2026.

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