IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IBM's fundamentals are strong: it turned 21% of its revenue into free cash flow and earnings per share grew 40%. At 21x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

OKLO

Oklo Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OKLO yet.

IBM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

OKLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

OKLO's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

IBM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$194-21%
Forward19x$245โ€”
Current21x$245โ€”
Fair23x$274+12%
Expensive46x$538+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

OKLO PE Valuation

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

OKLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OKLO's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IBM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$307.43
Downside-15%$206.85

Calculated from the latest close: $244.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IBM and OKLO's risk to reward.

OKLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $24.45 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IBM and OKLO's risk to reward.

IBM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.06+11%
Q3 2026$11.75+40%
Q2 2026$11.29+83%
Q1 2026$11.33+94%
Q4 2025$11.17+74%
Q3 2025$8.38+22%
Q2 2025$6.18-32%
Q1 2025$5.83-34%
Q4 2024$6.43-21%

IBM has the edge over OKLO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

OKLO Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.96-$0.43
Q2 2026-$0.94-$0.53
Q1 2026-$0.84-$0.32

OKLO lost $0.96 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

IBM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$17.1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$17.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+9.5%
Q4 2025$19.7B+12%
Q3 2025$16.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$17B+7.7%
Q1 2025$14.5B+0.5%
Q4 2024$17.6B+1%

IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

OKLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M

OKLO and IBM do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

IBM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+31%
Q2 2026$2.4B+59%
Q1 2026$4.9B+20%
Q4 2025$3.7B-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.8B+8.9%
Q2 2025$1.5B-19%
Q1 2025$4.1B+5%
Q4 2024$4B-3.3%

IBM has the edge over OKLO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OKLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$199.5M-$176.4M
Q2 2026-$141.7M-$122.3M
Q1 2026-$50.7M-$38.1M
Q4 2025-$60.4M-$46.8M
Q3 2025-$23.1M-$15.1M

OKLO has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$452M over the past year, against โˆ’$69M the year before.

IBM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+260K shares
1 year+0.5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.2%+29.9M shares
5 years+5.3%+47.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+19.6M shares

IBM has the edge over OKLO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OKLO Total Shares

Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+12.4M shares
1 year+25%+38.2M shares

OKLO has 189M diluted shares, up 25% from a year ago.

IBM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

OKLO Net Leverage

OKLO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

IBM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

OKLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.2Neutral
Stochastic13.1Oversold

OKLO's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

IBM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %31354 pts below

IBM is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OKLO PE vs Utilities Sector

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.62.6% above
20 week MA$239.32.2% above
50 week MA$256.64.6% below
100 week MA$258.55.3% below
200 week MA$212.315% above

IBM has the edge over OKLO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OKLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.517% below
20 week MA$37.435% below
50 week MA$56.657% below
100 week MA$59.459% below
200 week MA$35.231% below

OKLO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

IBM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.3$119.2-7.8%
2021$119.2$130.6+9.6%
2022$130.6$141.7+8.4%
2023$141.7$163.6+15%
2024$163.6$222.8+36%
2025$222.8$305.1+37%
2026 YTD$305.1$244.7-20%

IBM has the edge over OKLO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OKLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.1$9.79-2.6%
2022$9.79$9.88+0.9%
2023$9.88$10.6+6.9%
2024$10.6$22.8+116%
2025$22.8$76.9+238%
2026 YTD$76.9$24.5-68%

OKLO is down 68% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

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