IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IBM's fundamentals are strong: it turned 21% of its revenue into free cash flow and earnings per share grew 40%. At 21x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

NOK

Nokia Oyj

65
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

NOK lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

IBM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NOK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NOK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

IBM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$194-21%
Forward19x$245—
Current21x$245—
Fair23x$274+12%
Expensive46x$538+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

NOK PE Valuation

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NOK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

NOK has the edge over IBM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

IBM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$307.43
Downside-15%$206.85

Calculated from the latest close: $244.67 on Nov 12.

IBM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NOK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NOK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$12.15
Downside-31%$5.71

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

NOK trails IBM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IBM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.06+11%
Q3 2026$11.75+40%
Q2 2026$11.29+83%
Q1 2026$11.33+94%
Q4 2025$11.17+74%
Q3 2025$8.38+22%
Q2 2025$6.18-32%
Q1 2025$5.83-34%
Q4 2024$6.43-21%

IBM earned $11.75 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

NOK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+67%
Q2 2026$0.14+27%
Q1 2026$0.16+220%
Q4 2025$0.13-13%
Q3 2025$0.09+13%
Q2 2025$0.11+57%
Q1 2025$0.05-69%
Q4 2024$0.15+15%

NOK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.15 over the past year, against $0.85 in early 2023.

IBM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$17.1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$17.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+9.5%
Q4 2025$19.7B+12%
Q3 2025$16.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$17B+7.7%
Q1 2025$14.5B+0.5%
Q4 2024$17.6B+1%

IBM has the edge over NOK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7B+6.1%
Q2 2026$5.3B+5.9%
Q1 2026$5B+2.4%
Q4 2025$6.8B+2.4%
Q3 2025$5.4B+12%
Q2 2025$5.1B+1.8%
Q1 2025$4.9B-1.2%
Q4 2024$6.6B+4.9%

NOK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.7B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

IBM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+31%
Q2 2026$2.4B+59%
Q1 2026$4.9B+20%
Q4 2025$3.7B-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.8B+8.9%
Q2 2025$1.5B-19%
Q1 2025$4.1B+5%
Q4 2024$4B-3.3%

IBM has the edge over NOK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$112M-123%
Q2 2026-$832.1M-951%
Q1 2026$698.8M-13%
Q4 2025$252.2M+354%
Q3 2025$476.6M-37%
Q2 2025$97.8M-78%
Q1 2025$801M-25%
Q4 2024$55.5M-97%

NOK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$112M, but it generated $7M over the past year.

IBM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+260K shares
1 year+0.5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.2%+29.9M shares
5 years+5.3%+47.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+19.6M shares

IBM has the edge over NOK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NOK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-56.5M shares
1 year+4.7%+257M shares
3 years+2.6%+148M shares
5 years+0.9%+54M shares
Available history+2.2%+123M shares

NOK has 5.7B diluted shares, up 4.7% from a year ago.

IBM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

NOK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NOK has the edge over IBM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IBM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

NOK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic18.3Oversold

NOK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

IBM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %31354 pts below

IBM is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NOK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNOKSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.62.6% above
20 week MA$239.32.2% above
50 week MA$256.64.6% below
100 week MA$258.55.3% below
200 week MA$212.315% above

IBM has the edge over NOK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NOK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.149.4% below
20 week MA$9.9217% below
50 week MA$9.6614% below
100 week MA$7.3513% above
200 week MA$5.6746% above

NOK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

IBM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.3$119.2-7.8%
2021$119.2$130.6+9.6%
2022$130.6$141.7+8.4%
2023$141.7$163.6+15%
2024$163.6$222.8+36%
2025$222.8$305.1+37%
2026 YTD$305.1$244.7-20%

IBM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

NOK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.63$3.89+7.2%
2021$3.89$6.19+59%
2022$6.19$4.64-25%
2023$4.64$3.42-26%
2024$3.42$4.48+31%
2025$4.48$6.62+48%
2026 YTD$6.62$8.28+25%

NOK has the edge over IBM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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