IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
IBM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX has the edge over IBM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
IBM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
NFLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
IBM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $194 | -21% |
| Forward | 19x | $245 | — |
| Current | 21x | $245 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $274 | +12% |
| Expensive | 46x | $538 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
NFLX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $62.69 | — |
| Current | 18x | $62.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $94.95 | +51% |
| Fair | 47x | $161 | +157% |
| Expensive | 81x | $281 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NFLX has the edge over IBM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
IBM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NFLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.
IBM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.06 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.75 | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.29 | +83% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.33 | +94% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.17 | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.38 | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.18 | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.83 | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.43 | -21% |
IBM earned $11.75 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
NFLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | +3.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.46 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.18 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.39 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.12 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.98 | +65% |
NFLX has the edge over IBM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IBM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.1B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2B | +1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.9B | +9.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.7B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.3B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $17B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.5B | +0.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.6B | +1% |
IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +20 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -2.8 points |
IBM's operating margin was 15% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
NFLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.5B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2B | +16% |
NFLX has the edge over IBM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.2 points |
NFLX has the edge over IBM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IBM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.9B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | -9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +5% |
| Q4 2024 | $4B | -3.3% |
IBM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $14.7B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
NFLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -13% |
NFLX has the edge over IBM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IBM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +260K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +4.6M shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +29.9M shares |
| 5 years | +5.3% | +47.6M shares |
| Available history | +2.1% | +19.6M shares |
IBM has 954M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
NFLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -66.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -145M shares |
| 3 years | -6.8% | -305M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -354M shares |
| Available history | -7.1% | -323M shares |
NFLX has the edge over IBM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $963.7M |
NFLX spent $12.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
IBM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.4x | High |
IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.
NFLX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
NFLX has the edge over IBM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
IBM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.8 | Neutral |
IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
NFLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
IBM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | IBM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 35 | 4 pts below |
IBM has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.
NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NFLX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 16x | 9.8% above |
| PE % | 4 | 26 | 22 pts below |
NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
IBM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $238.6 | 2.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $239.3 | 2.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $256.6 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $258.5 | 5.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $212.3 | 15% above |
IBM has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NFLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.6 | 5.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.4 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $96.0 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.4 | 16% below |
NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
IBM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $129.3 | $119.2 | -7.8% |
| 2021 | $119.2 | $130.6 | +9.6% |
| 2022 | $130.6 | $141.7 | +8.4% |
| 2023 | $141.7 | $163.6 | +15% |
| 2024 | $163.6 | $222.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $222.8 | $305.1 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $305.1 | $244.7 | -20% |
IBM has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NFLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $51.4 | +56% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $61.4 | +19% |
| 2022 | $61.4 | $29.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $48.7 | +65% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $90.8 | +86% |
| 2025 | $90.8 | $94.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.5 | $62.7 | -34% |
NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.