IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
IBM has a slight edge over NET overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
NET offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
IBM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
NET Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
NET's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
IBM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $194 | -21% |
| Forward | 19x | $245 | — |
| Current | 21x | $245 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $274 | +12% |
| Expensive | 46x | $538 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
NET PE Valuation
NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
IBM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NET Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
NET has the edge over IBM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
IBM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.06 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.75 | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.29 | +83% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.33 | +94% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.17 | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.38 | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.18 | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.83 | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.43 | -21% |
IBM has the edge over NET on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NET Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.75 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.68 | -$0.37 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.58 | -$0.23 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.25 | -$0.01 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.06 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.31 | -$0.05 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.35 | -$0.06 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.23 | +$0.32 |
NET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in mid-2022.
IBM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.1B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2B | +1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.9B | +9.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.7B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.3B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $17B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.5B | +0.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.6B | +1% |
IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +20 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -2.8 points |
IBM has the edge over NET on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NET Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $782.5M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $696.1M | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $639.8M | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $614.5M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $562M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $512.3M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $479.1M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $459.9M | +27% |
NET has the edge over IBM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.7% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -30% | -16 points |
| Q1 2026 | -9.7% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.7% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -13% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -11% | +3.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7.5% | +4.3 points |
NET's operating margin was −8.7% last quarter, down 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
IBM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.9B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | -9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +5% |
| Q4 2024 | $4B | -3.3% |
IBM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $14.7B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
NET Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $93.6M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $67.6M | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $93.1M | +55% |
| Q4 2025 | $105.2M | +94% |
| Q3 2025 | $82.5M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.9M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $59.9M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $54.2M | -0.9% |
NET has the edge over IBM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IBM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +260K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +4.6M shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +29.9M shares |
| 5 years | +5.3% | +47.6M shares |
| Available history | +2.1% | +19.6M shares |
IBM has the edge over NET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
NET Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +2.8M shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +7.8M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +22.5M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +42.6M shares |
| Available history | +144% | +211M shares |
NET has 357M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $34,000 |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
IBM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.4x | High |
IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.
NET Net Leverage
NET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
IBM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.8 | Neutral |
IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
NET Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.6 | Neutral |
NET's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
IBM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | IBM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 35 | 4 pts below |
IBM is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
NET PE vs Technology Sector
NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
IBM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $238.6 | 2.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $239.3 | 2.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $256.6 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $258.5 | 5.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $212.3 | 15% above |
IBM's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.
NET Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $318.6 | 0% below |
| 20 week MA | $299.8 | 6.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $241.0 | 32% above |
| 100 week MA | $204.9 | 55% above |
| 200 week MA | $139.8 | 128% above |
NET has the edge over IBM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
IBM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $129.3 | $119.2 | -7.8% |
| 2021 | $119.2 | $130.6 | +9.6% |
| 2022 | $130.6 | $141.7 | +8.4% |
| 2023 | $141.7 | $163.6 | +15% |
| 2024 | $163.6 | $222.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $222.8 | $305.1 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $305.1 | $244.7 | -20% |
IBM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.
NET Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.7 | $85.0 | +409% |
| 2021 | $85.0 | $137.3 | +62% |
| 2022 | $137.3 | $43.8 | -68% |
| 2023 | $43.8 | $83.3 | +90% |
| 2024 | $83.3 | $110.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $110.6 | $202.4 | +83% |
| 2026 YTD | $202.4 | $318.5 | +57% |
NET has the edge over IBM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.