IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
IBM's fundamentals are strong: it turned 21% of its revenue into free cash flow and earnings per share grew 40%. At 21x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
MSTR
Strategy Inc
There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.
IBM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
MSTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
IBM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $194 | -21% |
| Forward | 19x | $245 | — |
| Current | 21x | $245 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $274 | +12% |
| Expensive | 46x | $538 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
MSTR PE Valuation
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
IBM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MSTR Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.
IBM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.06 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.75 | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.29 | +83% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.33 | +94% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.17 | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.38 | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.18 | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.83 | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.43 | -21% |
IBM has the edge over MSTR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MSTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$57.71 | -374% |
| Q2 2026 | -$94.04 | -960% |
| Q1 2026 | -$36.99 | -$14.75 |
| Q4 2025 | -$15.23 | -$9.17 |
| Q3 2025 | $21.07 | +$23.35 |
| Q2 2025 | $10.93 | +$12.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.24 | -$21.39 |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.06 | -330% |
MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
IBM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.1B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2B | +1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.9B | +9.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.7B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.3B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $17B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.5B | +0.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.6B | +1% |
IBM has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +20 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -2.8 points |
IBM's operating margin was 15% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MSTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.4M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $122.4M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $123M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $128.7M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $114.5M | +2.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $111.1M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.7M | -3% |
MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16671% | +13648 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6808% | -19064 points |
| Q1 2026 | -11642% | -6310 points |
| Q4 2025 | -14185% | -13343 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3023% | +3396 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12256% | +12436 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5331% | -5155 points |
| Q4 2024 | -842% | -808 points |
MSTR has the edge over IBM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IBM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.9B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | -9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +5% |
| Q4 2024 | $4B | -3.3% |
IBM has the edge over MSTR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MSTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4M | +$15.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9M | +$31.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $13M | +$18.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.2M | -$4.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | +$30.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$37M | -$13M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.1M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.6M | -2204% |
MSTR has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$11M over the past year, against −$71M the year before.
IBM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +260K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +4.6M shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +29.9M shares |
| 5 years | +5.3% | +47.6M shares |
| Available history | +2.1% | +19.6M shares |
IBM has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
MSTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +21% | +75.5M shares |
| 1 year | +36% | +113M shares |
| 3 years | +201% | +286M shares |
| 5 years | +328% | +328M shares |
| Available history | +314% | +325M shares |
MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $744,000 |
| Q3 2020 | $60.6M |
| Q2 2020 | $11.1M |
| Q1 2020 | $50.7M |
IBM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.4x | High |
IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.
MSTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2020 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -11.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -17.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -29.1x | Net Cash |
MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
IBM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.8 | Neutral |
IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
MSTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
IBM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | IBM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 35 | 4 pts below |
IBM is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSTR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
IBM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $238.6 | 2.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $239.3 | 2.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $256.6 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $258.5 | 5.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $212.3 | 15% above |
IBM has the edge over MSTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $141.2 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $123.6 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $138.1 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $235.9 | 52% below |
| 200 week MA | $168.2 | 32% below |
MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
IBM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $129.3 | $119.2 | -7.8% |
| 2021 | $119.2 | $130.6 | +9.6% |
| 2022 | $130.6 | $141.7 | +8.4% |
| 2023 | $141.7 | $163.6 | +15% |
| 2024 | $163.6 | $222.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $222.8 | $305.1 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $305.1 | $244.7 | -20% |
IBM has the edge over MSTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.5 | $32.3 | +123% |
| 2021 | $32.3 | $59.7 | +85% |
| 2022 | $59.7 | $16.3 | -73% |
| 2023 | $16.3 | $63.2 | +288% |
| 2024 | $63.2 | $330.0 | +422% |
| 2025 | $330.0 | $158.8 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $158.8 | $114.4 | -28% |
MSTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +422% in 2024 to −73% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.