IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IBM's fundamentals are strong: it turned 21% of its revenue into free cash flow and earnings per share grew 40%. At 21x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

IONQ

IonQ, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score IONQ yet.

IBM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

IONQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Unavailable

IONQ's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

IBM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$194-21%
Forward19x$245โ€”
Current21x$245โ€”
Fair23x$274+12%
Expensive46x$538+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

IONQ PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current33x$30.86โ€”
Cheap86x$80.61+161%
Fair126x$119+285%
Expensive147x$138+349%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IONQ has the edge over IBM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

IONQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IONQ's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IBM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$307.43
Downside-15%$206.85

Calculated from the latest close: $244.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IBM and IONQ's risk to reward.

IONQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $30.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IBM and IONQ's risk to reward.

IBM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.06+11%
Q3 2026$11.75+40%
Q2 2026$11.29+83%
Q1 2026$11.33+94%
Q4 2025$11.17+74%
Q3 2025$8.38+22%
Q2 2025$6.18-32%
Q1 2025$5.83-34%
Q4 2024$6.43-21%

IBM has the edge over IONQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IONQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.94+$6.31
Q2 2026-$3.99-$1.96
Q1 2026$0.39+$1.90
Q4 2025-$1.82-$0.26
Q3 2025-$5.37-$4.56
Q2 2025-$2.03-$1.24
Q1 2025-$1.51-$0.68
Q4 2024-$1.56-$0.78

IONQ has returned to profit: it earned $0.94 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

IBM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$17.1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$17.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+9.5%
Q4 2025$19.7B+12%
Q3 2025$16.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$17B+7.7%
Q1 2025$14.5B+0.5%
Q4 2024$17.6B+1%

IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

IONQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$173.8M+336%
Q2 2026$80.1M+287%
Q1 2026$64.7M+755%
Q4 2025$61.9M+429%
Q3 2025$39.9M+222%
Q2 2025$20.7M+82%
Q1 2025$7.6M-0.2%
Q4 2024$11.7M+92%

IONQ's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $174M last quarter, up 336% from the same quarter a year ago.

IBM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+31%
Q2 2026$2.4B+59%
Q1 2026$4.9B+20%
Q4 2025$3.7B-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.8B+8.9%
Q2 2025$1.5B-19%
Q1 2025$4.1B+5%
Q4 2024$4B-3.3%

IBM has the edge over IONQ on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IONQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$34MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$34MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$43MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: โˆ’$54MQ3 2025: โˆ’$127MQ4 2025: โˆ’$83MQ1 2026: โˆ’$159MQ2 2026: โˆ’$114MQ3 2026: โˆ’$332M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$34MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$34MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$43MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: โˆ’$54MQ3 2025: โˆ’$127MQ4 2025: โˆ’$83MQ1 2026: โˆ’$159MQ2 2026: โˆ’$114MQ3 2026: โˆ’$332M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$331.9M-$204.7M
Q2 2026-$114M-$60.2M
Q1 2026-$159.4M-$124.1M
Q4 2025-$83.3M-$40.3M
Q3 2025-$127.2M-$104.2M
Q2 2025-$53.8M-$19.7M
Q1 2025-$35.3M-$11.7M
Q4 2024-$43M-$9.2M

IONQ has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$689M over the past year, against โˆ’$259M the year before.

IBM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+260K shares
1 year+0.5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.2%+29.9M shares
5 years+5.3%+47.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+19.6M shares

IBM has the edge over IONQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IONQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9%+33.2M shares
1 year+60%+150M shares
3 years+99%+199M shares
5 years+108%+208M shares

IONQ has 401M diluted shares, up 60% from a year ago.

IBM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

IONQ Net Leverage

IBM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

IONQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic22.3Neutral

IONQ's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

IBM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %31354 pts below

IBM has the edge over IONQ on valuation relative to its sector.

IONQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIONQSector medianRelative
PE33x28x18% above

IONQ is trading at 33x earnings, a 18% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

IBM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.62.6% above
20 week MA$239.32.2% above
50 week MA$256.64.6% below
100 week MA$258.55.3% below
200 week MA$212.315% above

IBM has the edge over IONQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IONQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.713% below
20 week MA$38.620% below
50 week MA$42.427% below
100 week MA$42.227% below
200 week MA$26.815% above

IONQ has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 15% above its 200-week average.

IBM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.3$119.2-7.8%
2021$119.2$130.6+9.6%
2022$130.6$141.7+8.4%
2023$141.7$163.6+15%
2024$163.6$222.8+36%
2025$222.8$305.1+37%
2026 YTD$305.1$244.7-20%

IBM has the edge over IONQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IONQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.0$17.9+62%
2022$17.9$3.30-82%
2023$3.30$12.4+275%
2024$12.4$45.5+267%
2025$45.5$46.0+1.1%
2026 YTD$46.0$30.9-33%

IONQ's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to โˆ’82% in 2022. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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