HZO
MarineMax, Inc.
HZO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over HZO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
HZO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
HZO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
HZO PE Valuation
HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
HZO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
HZO has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HZO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.61 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.41 | +$1.02 |
HZO lost $0.41 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over HZO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
HZO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $520.1M | -5.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $611.3M | -7% |
| Q1 2026 | $527.4M | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $505.2M | +7.8% |
HZO's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $520M last quarter, down 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.1% | +12 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1% | -7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5% | N/A |
| Q2 2025 | -6.3% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | 8.3% | N/A |
HZO's operating margin was 6.1% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE has the edge over HZO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over HZO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HZO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $77.2M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.5M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3M | +$172.7M |
HZO has the edge over NKE in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
HZO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.1% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +7.6% | +1.6M shares |
HZO has 23M diluted shares, up 7.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $15M |
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over HZO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
HZO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 22.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 18.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 11.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3x | High |
HZO's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 10 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over HZO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HZO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 78.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 96.4 | Overbought |
HZO's weekly RSI is 78 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 96 (overbought).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
HZO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HZO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 203x | 18x | 1,026% above |
| PE % | 100 | 47 | 53 pts above |
HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over HZO on valuation relative to its sector.
HZO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $52.6 | 0.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $47.2 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $36.4 | 45% above |
| 100 week MA | $30.6 | 72% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.1 | 70% above |
HZO has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
HZO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.7 | $37.8 | +127% |
| 2021 | $37.8 | $56.3 | +49% |
| 2022 | $56.3 | $31.0 | -45% |
| 2023 | $31.0 | $38.9 | +26% |
| 2024 | $38.9 | $27.8 | -29% |
| 2025 | $27.8 | $24.5 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $24.5 | $52.8 | +116% |
HZO has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.