HZO

MarineMax, Inc.

53
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

HZO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has a slight edge over HZO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HZO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Weak

HZO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HZO PE Valuation

HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HZO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HZO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over HZO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HZO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$75.20
Downside-30%$37.11

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

HZO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails HZO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HZO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-2.56Q1 2026: $-2.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $-0.41Forward: $1.61
Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-2.56Q1 2026: $-2.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $-0.41Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61—
Q3 2026-$0.41+$1.02

HZO lost $0.41 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO has the edge over HZO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

HZO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $632MQ2 2025: $657MQ3 2025: $552MQ4 2025: $505MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $520M
Q4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $632MQ2 2025: $657MQ3 2025: $552MQ4 2025: $505MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $520M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$520.1M-5.8%
Q2 2026$611.3M-7%
Q1 2026$527.4M-16%
Q4 2025$505.2M+7.8%

HZO's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $520M last quarter, down 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over HZO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HZO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: −$164MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: −$164MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$77.2M+13%
Q1 2026$44.5M-26%
Q4 2025$8.3M+$172.7M

HZO and NIO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

HZO Total Shares

Q4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
Q4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.1%+1.1M shares
1 year+7.6%+1.6M shares

HZO has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

HZO Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 10.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 18.3xQ1 2026: 22.5xQ2 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 10.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 18.3xQ1 2026: 22.5xQ2 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.8xHigh
Q1 202622.5xHigh
Q4 202518.3xHigh
Q3 202511.3xHigh
Q2 202510.4xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

HZO's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 10 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HZO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI78.2Overbought
Stochastic96.4Overbought

HZO's weekly RSI is 78 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 96 (overbought).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

HZO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHZOSector medianRelative
PE203x18x1,026% above
PE %1004753 pts above

HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HZO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.60.5% above
20 week MA$47.212% above
50 week MA$36.445% above
100 week MA$30.672% above
200 week MA$31.170% above

HZO has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

HZO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$37.8+127%
2021$37.8$56.3+49%
2022$56.3$31.0-45%
2023$31.0$38.9+26%
2024$38.9$27.8-29%
2025$27.8$24.5-12%
2026 YTD$24.5$52.8+116%

HZO has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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