HZO

MarineMax, Inc.

53
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

HZO has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HZO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Weak

HZO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HZO PE Valuation

HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HZO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HZO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HZO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$75.20
Downside-30%$37.11

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

HZO trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HZO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HZO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-2.56Q1 2026: $-2.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $-0.41Forward: $1.61
Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-2.56Q1 2026: $-2.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $-0.41Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61—
Q3 2026-$0.41+$1.02

HZO has the edge over LCID in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

HZO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $632MQ2 2025: $657MQ3 2025: $552MQ4 2025: $505MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $520M
Q4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $632MQ2 2025: $657MQ3 2025: $552MQ4 2025: $505MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $520M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$520.1M-5.8%
Q2 2026$611.3M-7%
Q1 2026$527.4M-16%
Q4 2025$505.2M+7.8%

HZO's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $520M last quarter, down 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over HZO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HZO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: −$164MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: −$164MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$77.2M+13%
Q1 2026$44.5M-26%
Q4 2025$8.3M+$172.7M

HZO and LCID do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

HZO Total Shares

Q4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
Q4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.1%+1.1M shares
1 year+7.6%+1.6M shares

HZO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

HZO Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 10.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 18.3xQ1 2026: 22.5xQ2 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 10.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 18.3xQ1 2026: 22.5xQ2 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.8xHigh
Q1 202622.5xHigh
Q4 202518.3xHigh
Q3 202511.3xHigh
Q2 202510.4xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

HZO's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 10 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HZO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI78.2Overbought
Stochastic96.4Overbought

HZO's weekly RSI is 78 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 96 (overbought).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

HZO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHZOSector medianRelative
PE203x18x1,026% above
PE %1004753 pts above

HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HZO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.60.5% above
20 week MA$47.212% above
50 week MA$36.445% above
100 week MA$30.672% above
200 week MA$31.170% above

HZO has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

HZO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$37.8+127%
2021$37.8$56.3+49%
2022$56.3$31.0-45%
2023$31.0$38.9+26%
2024$38.9$27.8-29%
2025$27.8$24.5-12%
2026 YTD$24.5$52.8+116%

HZO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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