HY

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc.

48
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

HY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over HY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

HY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

HY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HY PE Valuation

HY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 109x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HY to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$37.95
Downside-26%$20.57

Calculated from the latest close: $27.92 on Nov 12.

HY trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $8.62Q2 2024: $9.99Q3 2024: $8.90Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $5.59Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $-3.40Q1 2026: $-5.59Q2 2026: $-6.56Q3 2026: $-7.26Forward: $0.25
Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $8.62Q2 2024: $9.99Q3 2024: $8.90Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $5.59Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $-3.40Q1 2026: $-5.59Q2 2026: $-6.56Q3 2026: $-7.26Forward: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.25—
Q3 2026-$7.26-6150%
Q2 2026-$6.56-638%
Q1 2026-$5.59-200%
Q4 2025-$3.40-142%
Q3 2025$0.12-99%
Q2 2025$1.22-88%
Q1 2025$5.59-35%
Q4 2024$8.04+11%

HY has swung to a loss: it lost $7.26 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over HY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $910MQ2 2025: $957MQ3 2025: $979MQ4 2025: $923MQ1 2026: $795MQ2 2026: $813MQ3 2026: $827M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $910MQ2 2025: $957MQ3 2025: $979MQ4 2025: $923MQ1 2026: $795MQ2 2026: $813MQ3 2026: $827M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$827.4M-15%
Q2 2026$812.9M-15%
Q1 2026$795.2M-13%
Q4 2025$923.2M-14%
Q3 2025$979.1M-3.6%
Q2 2025$956.6M-18%
Q1 2025$910.4M-14%
Q4 2024$1.1B+3.9%

HY's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $827M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over HY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.5M-45%
Q2 2026$2M-87%
Q1 2026-$42.7M+$4.3M
Q4 2025$32.9M-48%
Q3 2025$22.6M-62%
Q2 2025$15.1M+$29.8M
Q1 2025-$47M-415%
Q4 2024$62.8M+116%

HY has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

HY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+15K shares
1 year+1.2%+210K shares
3 years+3%+514K shares
5 years+6.6%+1.1M shares
Available history+7.2%+1.2M shares

HY has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

HY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 15.7x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 15.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202515.7xHigh
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy
Q3 20241.0xHealthy
Q2 20241.0xVery low
Q1 20241.2xHealthy

HY's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.0Neutral
Stochastic10.4Oversold

HY's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

HY PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHYSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

HY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.76% below
20 week MA$32.213% below
50 week MA$33.918% below
100 week MA$37.626% below
200 week MA$46.540% below

HY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over HY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.4$58.2-0.3%
2021$58.2$41.6-29%
2022$41.6$25.8-38%
2023$25.8$62.2+141%
2024$62.2$50.2-19%
2025$50.2$31.0-38%
2026 YTD$31.0$27.9-9.9%

HY has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 9.9% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over HY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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