HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc.
HY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over HY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
HY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
HY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
HY PE Valuation
HY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 109x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect HY to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
HY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.25 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$7.26 | -6150% |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.56 | -638% |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.59 | -200% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.40 | -142% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.12 | -99% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.22 | -88% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.59 | -35% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.04 | +11% |
HY has swung to a loss: it lost $7.26 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW has the edge over HY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $827.4M | -15% |
| Q2 2026 | $812.9M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $795.2M | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $923.2M | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $979.1M | -3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $956.6M | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $910.4M | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +3.9% |
HY's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $827M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.3% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5% | -5.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4% | -7.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2% | -3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9% | -9.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3% | -5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3% | -1.7 points |
HY has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over HY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.5M | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $2M | -87% |
| Q1 2026 | -$42.7M | +$4.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $32.9M | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.6M | -62% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.1M | +$29.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$47M | -415% |
| Q4 2024 | $62.8M | +116% |
HY has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
HY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +15K shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +210K shares |
| 3 years | +3% | +514K shares |
| 5 years | +6.6% | +1.1M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +1.2M shares |
HY has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $700,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $9M |
| Q3 2025 | $100,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $100,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $23.1M |
HY spent $10M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 65% from the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
HY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 15.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2024 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
HY's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
HY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.4 | Oversold |
HY's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
HY PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | HY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
HY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.7 | 6% below |
| 20 week MA | $32.2 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $33.9 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $37.6 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $46.5 | 40% below |
HY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
HY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $58.4 | $58.2 | -0.3% |
| 2021 | $58.2 | $41.6 | -29% |
| 2022 | $41.6 | $25.8 | -38% |
| 2023 | $25.8 | $62.2 | +141% |
| 2024 | $62.2 | $50.2 | -19% |
| 2025 | $50.2 | $31.0 | -38% |
| 2026 YTD | $31.0 | $27.9 | -9.9% |
HY has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 9.9% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over HY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.