HUBS
HubSpot, Inc.
HUBS has a slight edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HUBS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
HUBS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
HUBS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $216 | — |
| Current | 52x | $216 | — |
| Cheap | 81x | $340 | +58% |
| Fair | 117x | $487 | +126% |
| Expensive | 6,152x | $25,716 | +11814% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HUBS has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
HUBS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
HUBS has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
HUBS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $16.09 | +285% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.18 | +$4.26 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.82 | +$3.05 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.90 | +$2.35 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.86 | +856% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.08 | +$0.17 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.23 | +$0.29 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.45 | +$2.18 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.09 | +$3.62 |
HUBS has returned to profit: it earned $4.18 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
HUBS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $947.6M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $911.7M | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $881M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $846.7M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $809.5M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $760.9M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $714.1M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $703.2M | +21% |
HUBS has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.6% | +6.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8% | +8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2% | +7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | +7.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -3.2% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.5% | +2.6 points |
HUBS's operating margin was 7.6% last quarter, up 6.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over HUBS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HUBS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $222M | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $203.1M | +37% |
| Q1 2026 | $183.4M | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $234M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $177M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $148.3M | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $148.2M | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $181.4M | +90% |
HUBS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
HUBS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.1% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -6% | -3.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1% | -516K shares |
| 5 years | +5.3% | +2.5M shares |
| Available history | +18% | +7.5M shares |
HUBS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $230.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $536.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $206.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $14.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $360.3M |
HUBS spent $988M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
HUBS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1,561.9x | Net Cash |
HUBS has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
HUBS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.2 | Neutral |
HUBS's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
HUBS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | HUBS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52x | 28x | 85% above |
| PE % | 2 | 35 | 33 pts below |
HUBS is trading at 52x earnings, a 85% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over HUBS on valuation relative to its sector.
HUBS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $226.2 | 4.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $225.0 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $248.8 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $408.5 | 47% below |
| 200 week MA | $468.0 | 54% below |
HUBS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 54% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over HUBS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HUBS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $158.3 | $414.8 | +162% |
| 2021 | $414.8 | $675.0 | +63% |
| 2022 | $675.0 | $281.2 | -58% |
| 2023 | $281.2 | $580.5 | +106% |
| 2024 | $580.5 | $708.2 | +22% |
| 2025 | $708.2 | $398.2 | -44% |
| 2026 YTD | $398.2 | $215.8 | -46% |
HUBS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +162% in 2020 to −58% in 2022. It's down 46% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over HUBS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.