HUBS

HubSpot, Inc.

76
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

HUBS has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

HUBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

HUBS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

HUBS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2346x4691x7037x9383x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2346x4691x7037x9383x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$216—
Current52x$216—
Cheap81x$340+58%
Fair117x$487+126%
Expensive6,152x$25,716+11814%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HUBS's PE is in its cheap range at 52x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HUBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HUBS, with profitability improving.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HUBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$358.10
Downside-22%$167.92

Calculated from the latest close: $215.84 on Nov 12.

HUBS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails HUBS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HUBS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.53Q1 2024: $-2.63Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.23Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $4.18Forward: $16.09
Q4 2023: $-3.53Q1 2024: $-2.63Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.23Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $4.18Forward: $16.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.09+285%
Q3 2026$4.18+$4.26
Q2 2026$2.82+$3.05
Q1 2026$1.90+$2.35
Q4 2025$0.86+856%
Q3 2025-$0.08+$0.17
Q2 2025-$0.23+$0.29
Q1 2025-$0.45+$2.18
Q4 2024$0.09+$3.62

HUBS has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HUBS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $582MQ1 2024: $617MQ2 2024: $637MQ3 2024: $670MQ4 2024: $703MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $761MQ3 2025: $810MQ4 2025: $847MQ1 2026: $881MQ2 2026: $912MQ3 2026: $948M
Q4 2023: $582MQ1 2024: $617MQ2 2024: $637MQ3 2024: $670MQ4 2024: $703MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $761MQ3 2025: $810MQ4 2025: $847MQ1 2026: $881MQ2 2026: $912MQ3 2026: $948M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$947.6M+17%
Q2 2026$911.7M+20%
Q1 2026$881M+23%
Q4 2025$846.7M+20%
Q3 2025$809.5M+21%
Q2 2025$760.9M+19%
Q1 2025$714.1M+16%
Q4 2024$703.2M+21%

HUBS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

HUBS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $121MQ2 2024: $110MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $177MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $121MQ2 2024: $110MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $177MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$222M+25%
Q2 2026$203.1M+37%
Q1 2026$183.4M+24%
Q4 2025$234M+29%
Q3 2025$177M+19%
Q2 2025$148.3M+35%
Q1 2025$148.2M+22%
Q4 2024$181.4M+90%

HUBS has the edge over INTC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.

HUBS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-1.1M shares
1 year-6%-3.1M shares
3 years-1%-516K shares
5 years+5.3%+2.5M shares
Available history+18%+7.5M shares

HUBS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

HUBS Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -1,561.9xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.2xQ3 2026: -3.9x
Q1 2025: -1,561.9xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.2xQ3 2026: -3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1,561.9xNet Cash

HUBS has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

HUBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic36.2Neutral

HUBS's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

HUBS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHUBSSector medianRelative
PE52x28x85% above
PE %23533 pts below

HUBS is trading at 52x earnings, a 85% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HUBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$226.24.6% below
20 week MA$225.04.1% below
50 week MA$248.813% below
100 week MA$408.547% below
200 week MA$468.054% below

HUBS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 54% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over HUBS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HUBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$158.3$414.8+162%
2021$414.8$675.0+63%
2022$675.0$281.2-58%
2023$281.2$580.5+106%
2024$580.5$708.2+22%
2025$708.2$398.2-44%
2026 YTD$398.2$215.8-46%

HUBS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +162% in 2020 to −58% in 2022. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over HUBS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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