HTO

H2O America

53
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

HTO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 30% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 21%. At 24x earnings, it's trading below its usual 28x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

HTO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

HTO's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

HTO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x98x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x98x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$47.90-21%
Forward22x$60.92—
Current24x$60.92—
Fair28x$70.38+16%
Expensive44x$112+85%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTO's PE is in its fair range at 24x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

HTO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect HTO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

HTO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$67.84
Downside-18%$49.91

Calculated from the latest close: $60.92 on Nov 12.

HTO's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −18% against +11%.

HTO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.68Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.73Q3 2024: $2.77Q4 2024: $2.87Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.07Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $2.92Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.55Forward: $2.80
Q4 2023: $2.68Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.73Q3 2024: $2.77Q4 2024: $2.87Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.07Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $2.92Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.55Forward: $2.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.80+9.7%
Q3 2026$2.55-20%
Q2 2026$2.83-7.8%
Q1 2026$2.92-2.7%
Q4 2025$2.92+1.7%
Q3 2025$3.17+14%
Q2 2025$3.07+12%
Q1 2025$3.00+12%
Q4 2024$2.87+7.1%

HTO earned $2.55 per share over the past year, down 20% from the year before.

HTO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $250M
Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $250M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$250.2M+4%
Q2 2026$210.5M+6.2%
Q1 2026$183.3M+9.4%
Q4 2025$194.2M-1.8%
Q3 2025$240.6M+6.9%
Q2 2025$198.3M+13%
Q1 2025$167.6M+12%
Q4 2024$197.8M+15%

HTO's revenue is growing: $250M last quarter, up 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

HTO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$80.2M+3.9%
Q2 2026$60.7M-0.2%
Q1 2026$43.7M+1.2%
Q4 2025$63.5M+53%
Q3 2025$77.3M+44%
Q2 2025$60.8M+23%
Q1 2025$43.2M-16%
Q4 2024$41.5M+32%

HTO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $248M over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

HTO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+613K shares
1 year+22%+7.8M shares
3 years+36%+11.5M shares
5 years+45%+13.5M shares
Available history+52%+14.9M shares

HTO has 43M diluted shares, up 22% from a year ago.

HTO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.1xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 5.7xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 6.3xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q4 2023: 6.1xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 5.7xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 6.3xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20265.8xHigh
Q1 20265.7xHigh
Q4 20256.3xHigh
Q3 20255.8xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20255.7xHigh
Q4 20246.0xHigh

HTO's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.8 years a year ago.

HTO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic57.9Neutral

HTO's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

HTO PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricHTOSector medianRelative
PE24x20x17% above
PE %46442 pts above

HTO is trading at 24x earnings, a 17% premium to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

HTO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$60.11.3% above
20 week MA$61.91.6% below
50 week MA$57.95.2% above
100 week MA$54.312% above
200 week MA$59.03.3% above

HTO's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.3% above its 200-week average.

HTO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$71.6$67.1-6.3%
2021$67.1$70.3+4.7%
2022$70.3$81.0+15%
2023$81.0$65.4-19%
2024$65.4$49.4-24%
2025$49.4$48.8-1.1%
2026 YTD$48.8$60.9+25%

HTO has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 25% so far in 2026.

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