HTHT

H World Group Limited

67
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

HTHT has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HTHT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

HTHT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HTHT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$45.91-8.1%
Current21x$49.95—
Fair23x$54.62+9.3%
Expensive73x$172+244%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTHT's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTHT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HTHT, with profitability holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over HTHT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

HTHT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$62.09
Downside-19%$40.28

Calculated from the latest close: $49.95 on Nov 12.

HTHT trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HTHT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HTHT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.88Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $1.77Q3 2024: $1.76Q4 2024: $1.43Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $1.85Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.34
Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.88Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $1.77Q3 2024: $1.76Q4 2024: $1.43Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $1.85Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.34+33%
Q1 2026$2.33+51%
Q4 2025$2.37+66%
Q3 2025$1.85+5.1%
Q2 2025$1.76-0.6%
Q1 2025$1.54-11%
Q4 2024$1.43-24%
Q3 2024$1.76+16%

HTHT has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

HTHT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $944MQ4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $923MQ3 2024: $967MQ4 2024: $904MQ1 2025: $810MQ2 2025: $964MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $966MQ1 2026: $894MQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $944MQ4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $923MQ3 2024: $967MQ4 2024: $904MQ1 2025: $810MQ2 2025: $964MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $966MQ1 2026: $894MQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+11%
Q1 2026$894.4M+10%
Q4 2025$965.7M+6.8%
Q3 2025$1B+8.1%
Q2 2025$964.4M+4.5%
Q1 2025$809.6M+2.2%
Q4 2024$903.9M+7.9%
Q3 2024$966.8M+2.4%

HTHT's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

HTHT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $148MQ4 2023: $304MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $307MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $391MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $371MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $481M
Q3 2023: $148MQ4 2023: $304MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $307MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $391MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $371MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $481M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$481.3M+30%
Q1 2026$7.6M-85%
Q4 2025$473.3M+21%
Q3 2025$224.1M+5.3%
Q2 2025$370.7M+21%
Q1 2025$51M-44%
Q4 2024$391.1M+29%
Q3 2024$212.8M+44%

HTHT has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

HTHT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 336MQ4 2023: 322MQ1 2024: 317MQ2 2024: 330MQ3 2024: 326MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 323MQ2 2025: 323MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 326MQ1 2026: 327MQ2 2026: 325M
Q3 2023: 336MQ4 2023: 322MQ1 2024: 317MQ2 2024: 330MQ3 2024: 326MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 323MQ2 2025: 323MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 326MQ1 2026: 327MQ2 2026: 325M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.7M shares
1 year+0.7%+2.1M shares
3 years-3%-10.1M shares
5 years-0.6%-2.1M shares
Available history+6.9%+21M shares

HTHT has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

HTHT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20254.0xElevated
Q4 20244.3xHigh
Q3 20244.2xHigh

HTHT's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HTHT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

HTHT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

HTHT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHTHTSector medianRelative
PE21x18x18% above
PE %304717 pts below

HTHT is trading at 21x earnings, a 18% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTHT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.28.2% above
20 week MA$44.512% above
50 week MA$47.35.7% above
100 week MA$41.520% above
200 week MA$40.025% above

HTHT has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

HTHT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.5$44.4+7%
2021$44.4$37.3-16%
2022$37.3$41.7+12%
2023$41.7$33.4-20%
2024$33.4$33.4-0.1%
2025$33.4$48.5+45%
2026 YTD$48.5$50.0+3%

HTHT has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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