HTHT

H World Group Limited

67
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

HTHT has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HTHT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

HTHT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

HTHT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$45.91-8.1%
Current21x$49.95—
Fair23x$54.62+9.3%
Expensive73x$172+244%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTHT's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over HTHT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HTHT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HTHT, with profitability holding steady.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HTHT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$62.09
Downside-19%$40.28

Calculated from the latest close: $49.95 on Nov 12.

HTHT trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HTHT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HTHT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.88Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $1.77Q3 2024: $1.76Q4 2024: $1.43Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $1.85Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.34
Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.88Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $1.77Q3 2024: $1.76Q4 2024: $1.43Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $1.85Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.34+33%
Q1 2026$2.33+51%
Q4 2025$2.37+66%
Q3 2025$1.85+5.1%
Q2 2025$1.76-0.6%
Q1 2025$1.54-11%
Q4 2024$1.43-24%
Q3 2024$1.76+16%

HTHT has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

HTHT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $944MQ4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $923MQ3 2024: $967MQ4 2024: $904MQ1 2025: $810MQ2 2025: $964MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $966MQ1 2026: $894MQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $944MQ4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $923MQ3 2024: $967MQ4 2024: $904MQ1 2025: $810MQ2 2025: $964MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $966MQ1 2026: $894MQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+11%
Q1 2026$894.4M+10%
Q4 2025$965.7M+6.8%
Q3 2025$1B+8.1%
Q2 2025$964.4M+4.5%
Q1 2025$809.6M+2.2%
Q4 2024$903.9M+7.9%
Q3 2024$966.8M+2.4%

HTHT has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

HTHT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $148MQ4 2023: $304MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $307MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $391MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $371MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $481M
Q3 2023: $148MQ4 2023: $304MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $307MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $391MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $371MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $481M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$481.3M+30%
Q1 2026$7.6M-85%
Q4 2025$473.3M+21%
Q3 2025$224.1M+5.3%
Q2 2025$370.7M+21%
Q1 2025$51M-44%
Q4 2024$391.1M+29%
Q3 2024$212.8M+44%

HTHT has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

HTHT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 336MQ4 2023: 322MQ1 2024: 317MQ2 2024: 330MQ3 2024: 326MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 323MQ2 2025: 323MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 326MQ1 2026: 327MQ2 2026: 325M
Q3 2023: 336MQ4 2023: 322MQ1 2024: 317MQ2 2024: 330MQ3 2024: 326MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 323MQ2 2025: 323MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 326MQ1 2026: 327MQ2 2026: 325M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.7M shares
1 year+0.7%+2.1M shares
3 years-3%-10.1M shares
5 years-0.6%-2.1M shares
Available history+6.9%+21M shares

HTHT has 325M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago, despite $325M in buybacks over the past year.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over HTHT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HTHT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20254.0xElevated
Q4 20244.3xHigh
Q3 20244.2xHigh

HTHT's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over HTHT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HTHT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

HTHT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

HTHT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHTHTSector medianRelative
PE21x18x18% above
PE %304717 pts below

HTHT is trading at 21x earnings, a 18% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over HTHT on valuation relative to its sector.

HTHT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.28.2% above
20 week MA$44.512% above
50 week MA$47.35.7% above
100 week MA$41.520% above
200 week MA$40.025% above

HTHT has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

HTHT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.5$44.4+7%
2021$44.4$37.3-16%
2022$37.3$41.7+12%
2023$41.7$33.4-20%
2024$33.4$33.4-0.1%
2025$33.4$48.5+45%
2026 YTD$48.5$50.0+3%

HTHT has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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