HTHT

H World Group Limited

67
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

HTHT has the edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HTHT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

HTHT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HTHT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$45.91-8.1%
Current21x$49.95—
Fair23x$54.62+9.3%
Expensive73x$172+244%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTHT's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTHT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HTHT, with profitability holding steady.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over HTHT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

HTHT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$62.09
Downside-19%$40.28

Calculated from the latest close: $49.95 on Nov 12.

HTHT trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HTHT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HTHT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.88Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $1.77Q3 2024: $1.76Q4 2024: $1.43Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $1.85Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.34
Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.88Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $1.77Q3 2024: $1.76Q4 2024: $1.43Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $1.85Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.34+33%
Q1 2026$2.33+51%
Q4 2025$2.37+66%
Q3 2025$1.85+5.1%
Q2 2025$1.76-0.6%
Q1 2025$1.54-11%
Q4 2024$1.43-24%
Q3 2024$1.76+16%

HTHT has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

HTHT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $944MQ4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $923MQ3 2024: $967MQ4 2024: $904MQ1 2025: $810MQ2 2025: $964MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $966MQ1 2026: $894MQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $944MQ4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $923MQ3 2024: $967MQ4 2024: $904MQ1 2025: $810MQ2 2025: $964MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $966MQ1 2026: $894MQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+11%
Q1 2026$894.4M+10%
Q4 2025$965.7M+6.8%
Q3 2025$1B+8.1%
Q2 2025$964.4M+4.5%
Q1 2025$809.6M+2.2%
Q4 2024$903.9M+7.9%
Q3 2024$966.8M+2.4%

HTHT's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

HTHT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $148MQ4 2023: $304MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $307MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $391MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $371MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $481M
Q3 2023: $148MQ4 2023: $304MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $307MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $391MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $371MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $481M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$481.3M+30%
Q1 2026$7.6M-85%
Q4 2025$473.3M+21%
Q3 2025$224.1M+5.3%
Q2 2025$370.7M+21%
Q1 2025$51M-44%
Q4 2024$391.1M+29%
Q3 2024$212.8M+44%

HTHT has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

HTHT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 336MQ4 2023: 322MQ1 2024: 317MQ2 2024: 330MQ3 2024: 326MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 323MQ2 2025: 323MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 326MQ1 2026: 327MQ2 2026: 325M
Q3 2023: 336MQ4 2023: 322MQ1 2024: 317MQ2 2024: 330MQ3 2024: 326MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 323MQ2 2025: 323MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 326MQ1 2026: 327MQ2 2026: 325M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.7M shares
1 year+0.7%+2.1M shares
3 years-3%-10.1M shares
5 years-0.6%-2.1M shares
Available history+6.9%+21M shares

HTHT has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

HTHT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20254.0xElevated
Q4 20244.3xHigh
Q3 20244.2xHigh

HTHT's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HTHT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

HTHT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

HTHT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHTHTSector medianRelative
PE21x18x18% above
PE %304717 pts below

HTHT is trading at 21x earnings, a 18% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTHT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.28.2% above
20 week MA$44.512% above
50 week MA$47.35.7% above
100 week MA$41.520% above
200 week MA$40.025% above

HTHT has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

HTHT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.5$44.4+7%
2021$44.4$37.3-16%
2022$37.3$41.7+12%
2023$41.7$33.4-20%
2024$33.4$33.4-0.1%
2025$33.4$48.5+45%
2026 YTD$48.5$50.0+3%

HTHT has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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