HTGC
Hercules Capital, Inc.
HTGC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over HTGC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
HTGC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HTGC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HTGC.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
HTGC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $13.94 | -12% |
| Forward | 8.2x | $15.85 | — |
| Current | 8.4x | $15.85 | — |
| Fair | 10x | $19.30 | +22% |
| Expensive | 14x | $25.82 | +63% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HTGC's PE is in its cheap range at 8.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.2x.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over HTGC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HTGC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect HTGC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over HTGC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
HTGC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.93 | +2.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.88 | +9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.03 | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.79 | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.85 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.72 | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.51 | -16% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.33 | -40% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.61 | -30% |
HTGC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.88 over the past year, against $2.89 in mid-2021.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI has the edge over HTGC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HTGC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | $87.4M | +52% |
| Q2 2022 | $21.7M | -81% |
| Q1 2022 | $29.7M | -70% |
| Q4 2021 | $40.2M | -78% |
| Q3 2021 | $57.4M | -23% |
| Q2 2021 | $115.3M | +23% |
| Q1 2021 | $98.4M | +2179% |
| Q4 2020 | $184.3M | +145% |
HTGC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 52% for HTGC versus up 44% for SOFI.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 61% | +20 points |
| Q2 2022 | -48% | -119 points |
| Q1 2022 | -11% | -77 points |
| Q4 2021 | 9.2% | -73 points |
| Q3 2021 | 41% | -17 points |
| Q2 2021 | 72% | +6.1 points |
| Q1 2021 | 65% | +731 points |
| Q4 2020 | 82% | +23 points |
HTGC's operating margin was 61% last quarter, up 20 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
HTGC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$165.6M | -$162.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $297.9M | +$442.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$230.7M | -$8.4M |
| Q4 2025 | -$55.6M | -$26.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2M | -103% |
| Q2 2025 | -$144.8M | -345% |
| Q1 2025 | -$222.2M | +$19M |
| Q4 2024 | -$29.2M | -122% |
HTGC has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
HTGC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +501K shares |
| 1 year | +2.9% | +5.7M shares |
| 3 years | +36% | +53M shares |
| 5 years | +72% | +83.8M shares |
| Available history | +89% | +94M shares |
HTGC has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $693,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $819,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $1M |
| Q3 2025 | $974,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $1M |
HTGC spent $6M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 9.3% from the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
HTGC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 33.8x | High |
| Q2 2022 | 100.4x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 11.9x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 6.4x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q2 2021 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2021 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2020 | 4.8x | High |
HTGC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTGC.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
HTGC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.0 | Oversold |
HTGC's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
HTGC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HTGC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.4x | 13x | 35% below |
| PE % | 30 | 63 | 33 pts below |
HTGC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HTGC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.5 | 3.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $16.6 | 4.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.4 | 3.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.6 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $17.4 | 8.6% below |
HTGC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.6% below its 200-week average.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has the edge over HTGC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HTGC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.1 | $14.1 | +0.2% |
| 2021 | $14.1 | $16.5 | +17% |
| 2022 | $16.5 | $13.2 | -20% |
| 2023 | $13.2 | $16.7 | +26% |
| 2024 | $16.7 | $20.1 | +20% |
| 2025 | $20.1 | $18.7 | -6.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $18.7 | $15.9 | -15% |
HTGC has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.