HTGC

Hercules Capital, Inc.

52
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

HTGC's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 9.3%, but revenue fell 61%. At 8.4x earnings, it's trading below its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

HTGC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HTGC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HTGC.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

HTGC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x114x151x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x114x151x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$13.94-12%
Forward8.2x$15.85โ€”
Current8.4x$15.85โ€”
Fair10x$19.30+22%
Expensive14x$25.82+63%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTGC's PE is in its cheap range at 8.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.2x.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTGC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect HTGC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HTGC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$18.77
Downside-15%$13.43

Calculated from the latest close: $15.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HTGC and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HTGC and IREN's risk to reward.

HTGC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.61Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.85Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $1.88Forward: $1.93
Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.61Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.85Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $1.88Forward: $1.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.93+2.8%
Q3 2026$1.88+9.3%
Q2 2026$2.03+34%
Q1 2026$1.79+35%
Q4 2025$1.85+15%
Q3 2025$1.72-15%
Q2 2025$1.51-16%
Q1 2025$1.33-40%
Q4 2024$1.61-30%

HTGC has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HTGC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$87.4M+52%
Q2 2022$21.7M-81%
Q1 2022$29.7M-70%
Q4 2021$40.2M-78%
Q3 2021$57.4M-23%
Q2 2021$115.3M+23%
Q1 2021$98.4M+2179%
Q4 2020$184.3M+145%

HTGC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 52% for HTGC versus down 5.1% for IREN.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

HTGC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: โˆ’$241MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: โˆ’$29MQ1 2025: โˆ’$222MQ2 2025: โˆ’$145MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$56MQ1 2026: โˆ’$231MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: โˆ’$166M
Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: โˆ’$241MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: โˆ’$29MQ1 2025: โˆ’$222MQ2 2025: โˆ’$145MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$56MQ1 2026: โˆ’$231MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: โˆ’$166M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$165.6M-$162.4M
Q2 2026$297.9M+$442.8M
Q1 2026-$230.7M-$8.4M
Q4 2025-$55.6M-$26.4M
Q3 2025-$3.2M-103%
Q2 2025-$144.8M-345%
Q1 2025-$222.2M+$19M
Q4 2024-$29.2M-122%

HTGC's free cash flow was โˆ’$154M over the past year, against โˆ’$399M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTGC.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN has the edge over HTGC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HTGC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 162MQ4 2024: 162MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 191MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 189MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 200MQ3 2026: 200M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 162MQ4 2024: 162MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 191MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 189MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 200MQ3 2026: 200M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+501K shares
1 year+2.9%+5.7M shares
3 years+36%+53M shares
5 years+72%+83.8M shares
Available history+89%+94M shares

HTGC has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

HTGC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202233.8xHigh
Q2 2022100.4xHigh
Q1 202211.9xHigh
Q4 20216.4xHigh
Q3 20213.7xElevated
Q2 20213.4xElevated
Q1 20213.6xElevated
Q4 20204.8xHigh

HTGC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTGC.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

HTGC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.1Neutral
Stochastic18.0Oversold

HTGC's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

HTGC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHTGCSector medianRelative
PE8.4x13x35% below
PE %306333 pts below

HTGC is trading at 8.4x earnings, a 35% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTGC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.53.6% below
20 week MA$16.64.7% below
50 week MA$16.43.6% below
100 week MA$17.610% below
200 week MA$17.48.6% below

HTGC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.6% below its 200-week average.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has the edge over HTGC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HTGC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.1$14.1+0.2%
2021$14.1$16.5+17%
2022$16.5$13.2-20%
2023$13.2$16.7+26%
2024$16.7$20.1+20%
2025$20.1$18.7-6.9%
2026 YTD$18.7$15.9-15%

HTGC has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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