HTB
HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.
HTB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over HTB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
HTB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HTB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HTB.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
HTB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.5x | $37.58 | -20% |
| Forward | 11x | $47.22 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $47.66 | +0.9% |
| Current | 12x | $47.22 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $73.15 | +55% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HTB has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
HTB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HTB, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over HTB on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
HTB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.16 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.97 | +9.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.81 | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.87 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.72 | +16% |
| Q3 2023 | $3.08 | +41% |
| Q2 2023 | $2.80 | +26% |
| Q1 2023 | $2.29 | +66% |
| Q4 2022 | $2.40 | +78% |
HTB's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.97 over the past year, up 9.7% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over HTB on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
HTB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.5M | +2.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $54.5M | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.3M | +6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $53.6M | +4.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $54.1M | +7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $54.4M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $50.9M | +1.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $50.4M | -0.8% |
HTB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $56M last quarter, up 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 36% | -4.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +5.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 40% | +8.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 36% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 36% | N/A |
HTB has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over HTB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HTB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.3M | +$21.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $126K | +$10.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $110M | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.2M | -214% |
| Q2 2025 | -$10.2M | -279% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.7M | +$80.3M |
| Q2 2024 | $5.7M | +$69.2M |
| Q3 2023 | -$33.2M | -543% |
HTB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
HTB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.6% | -424K shares |
| 1 year | -6.6% | -1.1M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +218K shares |
| 5 years | -3% | -496K shares |
| Available history | -8.9% | -1.6M shares |
HTB has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $44.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $7.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.3M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $503,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
HTB spent $85M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
HTB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
HTB has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
HTB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.3 | Neutral |
HTB's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
HTB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HTB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 8.7% below |
| PE % | 47 | 63 | 16 pts below |
HTB has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HTB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $46.8 | 1% above |
| 20 week MA | $47.9 | 1.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.9 | 2.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $41.6 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $34.3 | 38% above |
HTB has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
HTB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.9 | $19.4 | -28% |
| 2021 | $19.4 | $30.9 | +59% |
| 2022 | $30.9 | $24.5 | -21% |
| 2023 | $24.5 | $26.9 | +10% |
| 2024 | $26.9 | $33.9 | +26% |
| 2025 | $33.9 | $43.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.4 | $47.2 | +8.8% |
HTB has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.