HSY

The Hershey Company

77
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

HSY's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 20x earnings, below its usual 26x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

HSY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

HSY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

HSY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$173—
Current20x$173—
Cheap21x$181+4.7%
Fair26x$229+32%
Expensive30x$264+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HSY's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

HSY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HSY, with profitability improving.

HSY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$232.38
Downside-9%$158.30

Calculated from the latest close: $173.29 on Nov 12.

HSY's one-year upside scenario is about four times its downside: +34% against −8.7%.

HSY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.06Q1 2024: $10.10Q2 2024: $9.01Q3 2024: $8.69Q4 2024: $10.92Q1 2025: $8.13Q2 2025: $7.55Q3 2025: $6.71Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $5.37Q2 2026: $7.32Q3 2026: $8.84Forward: $9.27
Q4 2023: $9.06Q1 2024: $10.10Q2 2024: $9.01Q3 2024: $8.69Q4 2024: $10.92Q1 2025: $8.13Q2 2025: $7.55Q3 2025: $6.71Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $5.37Q2 2026: $7.32Q3 2026: $8.84Forward: $9.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.27+4.9%
Q3 2026$8.84+32%
Q2 2026$7.32-3%
Q1 2026$5.37-34%
Q4 2025$4.34-60%
Q3 2025$6.71-23%
Q2 2025$7.55-16%
Q1 2025$8.13-20%
Q4 2024$10.92+21%

HSY earned $8.84 per share over the past year, up 32% from the year before.

HSY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B+3%
Q2 2026$2.8B+6.6%
Q1 2026$3.1B+11%
Q4 2025$3.1B+7%
Q3 2025$3.2B+6.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B+26%
Q1 2025$2.8B-14%
Q4 2024$2.9B+8.7%

HSY's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $3.3B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

HSY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $535MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $195MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: $807MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: −$46MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $788MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: $329MQ3 2026: $955M
Q4 2023: $535MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $195MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: $807MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: −$46MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $788MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: $329MQ3 2026: $955M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$955.1M-17%
Q2 2026$329.5M+$376M
Q1 2026$354.2M+41%
Q4 2025$788.5M-2.3%
Q3 2025$1.1B+102%
Q2 2025-$46.5M-124%
Q1 2025$251.2M-29%
Q4 2024$807.1M+51%

HSY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 12% from the year before.

HSY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 204MQ1 2024: 205MQ2 2024: 203MQ3 2024: 203MQ4 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 203MQ2 2025: 203MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 203MQ1 2026: 204MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 204MQ1 2024: 205MQ2 2024: 203MQ3 2024: 203MQ4 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 203MQ2 2025: 203MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 203MQ1 2026: 204MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2.6M shares
1 year-0.9%-1.8M shares
3 years-1.8%-3.8M shares
5 years-2.8%-5.7M shares
Available history-3.4%-7.1M shares

HSY has 202M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago, with $439M in buybacks over the past year.

HSY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20262.0xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.8xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

HSY's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago.

HSY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.4Neutral
Stochastic47.1Neutral

HSY's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

HSY PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricHSYSector medianRelative
PE20x19x0.6% above
PE %9189 pts below

HSY is trading at 20x earnings, in line with the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

HSY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$168.32.9% above
20 week MA$173.60.2% below
50 week MA$187.97.8% below
100 week MA$180.23.8% below
200 week MA$194.611% below

HSY has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 11% below its 200-week average.

HSY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$147.6$150.0+1.6%
2021$150.0$188.5+26%
2022$188.5$235.9+25%
2023$235.9$186.4-21%
2024$186.4$171.8-7.9%
2025$171.8$184.2+7.2%
2026 YTD$184.2$173.3-5.9%

HSY has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 5.9% so far in 2026.

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