HSTM

HealthStream, Inc.

69
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

HSTM has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

HSTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

HSTM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

HSTM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward38x$28.29—
Cheap40x$27.80-1.7%
Current40x$28.29—
Fair50x$35.27+25%
Expensive97x$67.62+139%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HSTM has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HSTM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

HSTM has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HSTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$35.52
Downside-10%$25.35

Calculated from the latest close: $28.29 on Nov 12.

HSTM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UNH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH trails HSTM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HSTM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.50Q1 2024: $0.58Q2 2024: $0.59Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.66Q1 2025: $0.63Q2 2025: $0.67Q3 2025: $0.68Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $0.74
Q4 2023: $0.50Q1 2024: $0.58Q2 2024: $0.59Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.66Q1 2025: $0.63Q2 2025: $0.67Q3 2025: $0.68Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $0.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.74+6.3%
Q3 2026$0.70+2.9%
Q2 2026$0.72+7.5%
Q1 2026$0.67+6.3%
Q4 2025$0.61-7.6%
Q3 2025$0.68+4.6%
Q2 2025$0.67+14%
Q1 2025$0.63+8.6%
Q4 2024$0.66+32%

HSTM has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

HSTM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $74MQ3 2025: $76MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $74MQ3 2025: $76MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$83.3M+8.9%
Q2 2026$83.7M+13%
Q1 2026$81.2M+11%
Q4 2025$79.7M+7.4%
Q3 2025$76.5M+4.6%
Q2 2025$74.4M+4%
Q1 2025$73.5M+1%
Q4 2024$74.2M+5.2%

HSTM's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $83M last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

HSTM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$17.1M-4.8%
Q2 2026$12.5M+363%
Q1 2026$26.4M+1.4%
Q4 2025$13M+19%
Q3 2025$17.9M-4.8%
Q2 2025$2.7M-57%
Q1 2025$26M+29%
Q4 2024$11M-19%

HSTM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $69M over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over HSTM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HSTM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+342K shares
1 year-0.5%-155K shares
3 years-3.6%-1.1M shares
5 years-6.4%-2M shares
Available history-8.5%-2.8M shares

HSTM has 30M diluted shares, down 0.5% from a year ago, with $14M in buybacks over the past year.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over HSTM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HSTM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

HSTM has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

HSTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic34.3Neutral

HSTM's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

HSTM PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricHSTMSector medianRelative
PE40x26x56% above
PE %192910 pts below

HSTM is trading at 40x earnings, a 56% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over HSTM on valuation relative to its sector.

HSTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.510% below
20 week MA$29.85% below
50 week MA$25.411% above
100 week MA$27.33.7% above
200 week MA$26.75.9% above

HSTM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 5.9% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over HSTM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HSTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.6$21.7-21%
2021$21.7$26.1+20%
2022$26.1$24.6-5.9%
2023$24.6$27.0+9.9%
2024$27.0$31.8+17%
2025$31.8$23.6-26%
2026 YTD$23.6$28.3+20%

HSTM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over HSTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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