HSIC

Henry Schein, Inc.

58
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

HSIC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over HSIC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

HSIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

HSIC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

HSIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.5x17x26x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.5x17x26x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$86.14—
Cheap17x$60.99-29%
Fair21x$78.46-8.9%
Current24x$86.14—
Expensive25x$90.36+4.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HSIC's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over HSIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HSIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HSIC, with profitability holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HSIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$104.75
Downside-11%$76.33

Calculated from the latest close: $86.14 on Nov 12.

HSIC trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HSIC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HSIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.16Q1 2024: $2.97Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.44Q4 2024: $3.05Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $3.11Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.31Q2 2026: $3.43Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $5.82
Q4 2023: $3.16Q1 2024: $2.97Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.44Q4 2024: $3.05Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $3.11Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.31Q2 2026: $3.43Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $5.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.82+59%
Q3 2026$3.65+15%
Q2 2026$3.43+10%
Q1 2026$3.31+3.1%
Q4 2025$3.27+7.2%
Q3 2025$3.17+30%
Q2 2025$3.11+15%
Q1 2025$3.21+8.1%
Q4 2024$3.05-3.5%

HSIC has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

HSIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.5B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.5B+4%
Q2 2026$3.5B+6.7%
Q1 2026$3.4B+6.3%
Q4 2025$3.4B+7.7%
Q3 2025$3.3B+5.2%
Q2 2025$3.2B+3.3%
Q1 2025$3.2B-0.1%
Q4 2024$3.2B+5.8%

HSIC's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $3.5B last quarter, up 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over HSIC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HSIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $88MQ3 2025: $141MQ4 2025: $338MQ1 2026: −$122MQ2 2026: $212MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $88MQ3 2025: $141MQ4 2025: $338MQ1 2026: −$122MQ2 2026: $212MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$131M-7.1%
Q2 2026$212M+141%
Q1 2026-$122M-2133%
Q4 2025$338M+101%
Q3 2025$141M+21%
Q2 2025$88M-66%
Q1 2025$6M-96%
Q4 2024$168M+$239M

HSIC generated $559M in free cash flow over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over HSIC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HSIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 130MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 127MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 123MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 114MQ3 2026: 113M
Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 130MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 127MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 123MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 114MQ3 2026: 113M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-7%-8.5M shares
3 years-14%-18.9M shares
5 years-20%-28.5M shares
Available history-25%-36.7M shares

HSIC has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

HSIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20242.7xModerate

HSIC's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over HSIC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HSIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

HSIC's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

HSIC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricHSICSector medianRelative
PE24x26x8.7% below
PE %732944 pts above

HSIC is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over HSIC on valuation relative to its sector.

HSIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.50.8% above
20 week MA$86.60.6% below
50 week MA$80.86.7% above
100 week MA$75.414% above
200 week MA$74.815% above

HSIC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

HSIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$66.6$65.8-1.1%
2021$65.8$74.9+14%
2022$74.9$80.6+7.6%
2023$80.6$75.7-6.1%
2024$75.7$70.4-7%
2025$70.4$76.1+8.1%
2026 YTD$76.1$86.1+13%

HSIC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over HSIC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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