HRZN

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score HRZN yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

HRZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

HRZN's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HRZN.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

HRZN PE Valuation

HRZN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

HRZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect HRZN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over HRZN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

HRZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $3.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HRZN and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HRZN and MS's risk to reward.

HRZN Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.72Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-0.69Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $0.46Q3 2026: $-0.65Forward: $0.74
Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.72Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-0.69Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $0.46Q3 2026: $-0.65Forward: $0.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.74—
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.04
Q2 2026$0.46+$1.51
Q1 2026$0.53+$0.72
Q4 2025-$0.06-108%
Q3 2025-$0.69-196%
Q2 2025-$1.05-213%
Q1 2023$1.36+9.7%
Q4 2022$1.06-24%

HRZN is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $1.05 at its worst in mid-2025.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over HRZN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HRZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$13M+16%
Q1 2022$8.3M-16%
Q4 2021$7.1M+19%
Q3 2021$17.1M+12099%
Q2 2021$11.1M-2.2%
Q1 2021$10M+303%
Q4 2020$6M-41%

HRZN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 16% for HRZN versus up 12% for MS.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

HRZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: −$42MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: −$42MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2M-98%
Q2 2026$123.5M+149%
Q1 2026-$42.1M-$28.9M
Q4 2025-$30.4M-$4.3M
Q3 2025$50.6M+$78.9M
Q2 2025$49.6M-8.6%
Q1 2025-$13.2M-426%
Q4 2024-$26.1M-333%

HRZN has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

HRZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.1%+1.3M shares
1 year+61%+25.1M shares
3 years+123%+36.6M shares
5 years+234%+46.5M shares
Available history+347%+51.5M shares

HRZN has 66M diluted shares, up 61% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over HRZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HRZN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202211.5xHigh
Q1 20229.1xHigh
Q4 20217.7xHigh
Q3 20218.3xHigh
Q2 202115.5xHigh
Q1 202112.6xHigh
Q4 202025.3xHigh
Q3 202011.9xHigh

HRZN's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 16 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HRZN.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

HRZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.5Neutral
Stochastic12.2Oversold

HRZN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

HRZN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHRZNSector medianRelative
PE8.9x13x32% below
PE %146349 pts below

HRZN has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HRZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.2311% below
20 week MA$4.5117% below
50 week MA$4.9524% below
100 week MA$6.4041% below
200 week MA$9.0859% below

HRZN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over HRZN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HRZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.4$13.0+4.9%
2021$13.0$15.8+22%
2022$15.8$11.6-26%
2023$11.6$13.2+13%
2024$13.2$9.00-32%
2025$9.00$6.34-30%
2026 YTD$6.34$3.76-41%

HRZN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 41% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over HRZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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