HRTX

Heron Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score HRTX yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

HRTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

HRTX's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HRTX PE Valuation

HRTX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HRTX Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for HRTX to show an outlook.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

HRTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.33 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HRTX and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HRTX and LLY's risk to reward.

HRTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.06Q2 2025: $-0.02Q3 2025: $-0.09Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.18Q3 2026: $-0.11
Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.06Q2 2025: $-0.02Q3 2025: $-0.09Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.18Q3 2026: $-0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.11-$0.02
Q2 2026-$0.18-$0.16
Q1 2026-$0.17-$0.11
Q4 2025-$0.12-$0.03
Q3 2025-$0.09+$0.09
Q2 2025-$0.02+$0.30
Q1 2025-$0.06+$0.55
Q4 2024-$0.09+$0.77

HRTX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.11 per share over the past year, against $2.52 at its worst in mid-2021.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over HRTX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HRTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$35.3M-7.8%
Q2 2026$37.7M+1.3%
Q1 2026$34.7M-11%
Q4 2025$40.6M-0.5%
Q3 2025$38.2M+16%
Q2 2025$37.2M+3.3%
Q1 2025$38.9M+12%
Q4 2024$40.8M+19%

HRTX's revenue is shrinking: $35M last quarter, down 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over HRTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HRTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$896,000
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$896,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$896K-167%
Q2 2026-$2.4M+$8.7M
Q1 2026-$1.9M+$7M
Q4 2025-$9.2M+$3.2M
Q3 2025$1.3M-55%
Q4 2024-$12.4M-663%
Q3 2024$2.9M+$12.9M
Q4 2023$2.2M+$40.2M

HRTX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$14M over the past year, against −$31M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over HRTX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

HRTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 138MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 197MQ2 2025: 154MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 167MQ1 2026: 190MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 191M
Q4 2023: 138MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 197MQ2 2025: 154MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 167MQ1 2026: 190MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 191M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+584K shares
1 year+12%+20.6M shares
3 years+32%+45.9M shares
5 years+94%+92.5M shares
Available history+133%+109M shares

HRTX has 191M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over HRTX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HRTX Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 37.5xQ3 2025: -2.8x
Q2 2025: 37.5xQ3 2025: -2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q2 202537.5xHigh

HRTX has more cash than debt.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

HRTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic18.9Oversold

HRTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

HRTX PE vs Healthcare Sector

HRTX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

HRTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.330% above
20 week MA$0.3711% below
50 week MA$0.7657% below
100 week MA$1.2473% below
200 week MA$1.6480% below

HRTX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 80% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over HRTX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HRTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.1$20.7-14%
2021$20.7$10.2-51%
2022$10.2$2.57-75%
2023$2.57$1.70-34%
2024$1.70$1.55-8.8%
2025$1.55$1.28-17%
2026 YTD$1.28$0.33-74%

HRTX has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 74% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over HRTX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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