HRTG

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.

52
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

HRTG trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over HRTG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

HRTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HRTG's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HRTG.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

HRTG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.7x$33.510%
Current4.7x$33.50—
Fair6.7x$47.72+42%
Forward7.1x$33.50—
Expensive13x$91.25+172%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HRTG's PE is in its cheap range at 4.7x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 7.1x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over HRTG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HRTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect HRTG's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over HRTG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

HRTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$46.72
Downside-35%$21.62

Calculated from the latest close: $33.50 on Nov 12.

HRTG trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HRTG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HRTG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.72Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $1.95Q3 2024: $2.50Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.53Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.83Q4 2025: $6.32Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $7.02Q3 2026: $7.11Forward: $4.72
Q4 2023: $1.72Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $1.95Q3 2024: $2.50Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.53Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.83Q4 2025: $6.32Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $7.02Q3 2026: $7.11Forward: $4.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.72-34%
Q3 2026$7.11+47%
Q2 2026$7.02+102%
Q1 2026$6.52+158%
Q4 2025$6.32+214%
Q3 2025$4.83+93%
Q2 2025$3.47+78%
Q1 2025$2.53+54%
Q4 2024$2.01+17%

HRTG has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

HRTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $204MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $212MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $215MQ1 2026: $213MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $219M
Q4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $204MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $212MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $215MQ1 2026: $213MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $219M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$219.2M+3.2%
Q2 2026$214.2M+3%
Q1 2026$212.7M+0.5%
Q4 2025$215.3M+2.4%
Q3 2025$212.5M+0.3%
Q2 2025$208M+2.2%
Q1 2025$211.5M+11%
Q4 2024$210.3M+12%

HRTG's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $219M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over HRTG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HRTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $98MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: −$59MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $98MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: −$59MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.5M-92%
Q2 2026$141M+238%
Q1 2026$23M+$24.3M
Q4 2025$10.9M+$69.6M
Q3 2025$122.7M+$139.1M
Q2 2025$41.8M-72%
Q1 2025-$1.3M-131%
Q4 2024-$58.6M-160%

HRTG has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

HRTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-292K shares
1 year-4%-1.2M shares
3 years+12%+3.1M shares
5 years+6.6%+1.8M shares
Available history+1.9%+552K shares

HRTG has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

HRTG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.8xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -4.2xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -4.8xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -4.2xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.3xNet Cash

HRTG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HRTG.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over HRTG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HRTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.9Neutral
Stochastic50.1Neutral

HRTG's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

HRTG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHRTGSector medianRelative
PE4.7x13x64% below
PE %166347 pts below

HRTG has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HRTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.63.3% below
20 week MA$32.72.5% above
50 week MA$28.617% above
100 week MA$24.338% above
200 week MA$15.8113% above

HRTG has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

HRTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.4$10.1-24%
2021$10.1$5.91-42%
2022$5.91$1.85-69%
2023$1.85$6.52+252%
2024$6.52$12.1+85%
2025$12.1$29.0+141%
2026 YTD$29.0$33.5+16%

HRTG has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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