HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.
HRTG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over HRTG overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
HRTG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HRTG's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HRTG.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
HRTG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.7x | $33.51 | 0% |
| Current | 4.7x | $33.50 | — |
| Fair | 6.7x | $47.72 | +42% |
| Forward | 7.1x | $33.50 | — |
| Expensive | 13x | $91.25 | +172% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HRTG has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
HRTG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect HRTG's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over HRTG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
HRTG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.72 | -34% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.11 | +47% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.02 | +102% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.52 | +158% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.32 | +214% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.83 | +93% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.47 | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.53 | +54% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.01 | +17% |
HRTG has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
HRTG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $219.2M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $214.2M | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $212.7M | +0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $215.3M | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $212.5M | +0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $208M | +2.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $211.5M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $210.3M | +12% |
HRTG's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $219M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 39% | +8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 42% | +27 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +28 points |
| Q2 2025 | 31% | +18 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +8.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -4.3 points |
HRTG's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over HRTG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HRTG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.5M | -92% |
| Q2 2026 | $141M | +238% |
| Q1 2026 | $23M | +$24.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.9M | +$69.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $122.7M | +$139.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $41.8M | -72% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.3M | -131% |
| Q4 2024 | -$58.6M | -160% |
HRTG has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
HRTG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -292K shares |
| 1 year | -4% | -1.2M shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +3.1M shares |
| 5 years | +6.6% | +1.8M shares |
| Available history | +1.9% | +552K shares |
HRTG has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $14.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $10M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
HRTG spent $26M buying back its own shares over the past year.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
HRTG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
HRTG has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
HRTG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.1 | Neutral |
HRTG's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
HRTG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HRTG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.7x | 13x | 64% below |
| PE % | 16 | 63 | 47 pts below |
HRTG has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HRTG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.6 | 3.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $32.7 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $28.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.3 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.8 | 113% above |
HRTG's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 113% above its 200-week average.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
HRTG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.4 | $10.1 | -24% |
| 2021 | $10.1 | $5.91 | -42% |
| 2022 | $5.91 | $1.85 | -69% |
| 2023 | $1.85 | $6.52 | +252% |
| 2024 | $6.52 | $12.1 | +85% |
| 2025 | $12.1 | $29.0 | +141% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.0 | $33.5 | +16% |
HRTG has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.