HRMY

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.

57
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

HRMY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over HRMY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

HRMY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

HRMY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HRMY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.7x$33.80—
Cheap11x$33.44-1.1%
Current11x$33.80—
Fair13x$39.95+18%
Expensive22x$66.11+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HRMY's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over HRMY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HRMY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HRMY, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over HRMY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

HRMY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$44.69
Downside-24%$25.75

Calculated from the latest close: $33.80 on Nov 12.

HRMY trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HRMY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HRMY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $1.96Q3 2024: $2.12Q4 2024: $2.51Q1 2025: $2.62Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.18Q4 2025: $2.71Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $3.08Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $3.90
Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $1.96Q3 2024: $2.12Q4 2024: $2.51Q1 2025: $2.62Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.18Q4 2025: $2.71Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $3.08Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $3.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.90+29%
Q3 2026$3.02-5%
Q2 2026$3.08-0.6%
Q1 2026$2.48-5.3%
Q4 2025$2.71+8%
Q3 2025$3.18+50%
Q2 2025$3.10+58%
Q1 2025$2.62+13%
Q4 2024$2.51+18%

HRMY has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

HRMY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $201MQ1 2025: $185MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: $239MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $215MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $269M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $201MQ1 2025: $185MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: $239MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $215MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $269M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$268.9M+12%
Q2 2026$261.3M+30%
Q1 2026$215.4M+17%
Q4 2025$243.8M+21%
Q3 2025$239.5M+29%
Q2 2025$200.5M+16%
Q1 2025$184.7M+19%
Q4 2024$201.3M+20%

HRMY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $269M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over HRMY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HRMY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $126MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $126MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$126M+68%
Q3 2025$108.7M+54%
Q2 2025$79.3M+89%
Q1 2025$33.9M+8.7%
Q4 2024$75M-2%
Q3 2024$70.5M+12%
Q4 2023$76.6M+187%
Q3 2023$63.1M+14%

OSCR has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 545% versus its history, compared with HRMY at up 128%.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

HRMY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+924K shares
1 year+1.6%+961K shares
3 years-1.7%-1M shares
5 years+3.4%+2M shares
Available history+8%+4.4M shares

HRMY has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

HRMY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.9x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.6xNet Cash

HRMY has more cash than debt.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

HRMY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic23.6Neutral

HRMY's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

HRMY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricHRMYSector medianRelative
PE11x26x57% below
PE %183214 pts below

HRMY has the edge over OSCR on valuation relative to its sector.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

HRMY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.610% below
20 week MA$38.011% below
50 week MA$35.03.4% below
100 week MA$34.21.2% below
200 week MA$34.00.7% below

HRMY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.7% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over HRMY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HRMY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.0$36.5+1.3%
2021$36.5$43.9+20%
2022$43.9$56.7+29%
2023$56.7$32.3-43%
2024$32.3$34.2+5.9%
2025$34.2$38.1+11%
2026 YTD$38.1$33.8-11%

HRMY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over HRMY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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