HRI

Herc Holdings Inc.

51
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

HRI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over HRI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

HRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

HRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1330x2660x3990x5320x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1330x2660x3990x5320x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$44.73-73%
Forward16x$167—
Fair18x$70.08-58%
Expensive31x$122-27%
Current43x$167—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HRI's PE is in its expensive range at 43x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HRI, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$246.36
Downside-25%$124.16

Calculated from the latest close: $166.50 on Nov 12.

HRI trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HRI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.10Q1 2024: $12.11Q2 2024: $11.91Q3 2024: $12.23Q4 2024: $7.40Q1 2025: $4.48Q2 2025: $0.85Q3 2025: $-2.53Q4 2025: $0.03Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $1.68Q3 2026: $3.88Forward: $10.66
Q4 2023: $12.10Q1 2024: $12.11Q2 2024: $11.91Q3 2024: $12.23Q4 2024: $7.40Q1 2025: $4.48Q2 2025: $0.85Q3 2025: $-2.53Q4 2025: $0.03Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $1.68Q3 2026: $3.88Forward: $10.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.66+175%
Q3 2026$3.88+$6.41
Q2 2026$1.68+98%
Q1 2026-$0.06-101%
Q4 2025$0.03-100%
Q3 2025-$2.53-121%
Q2 2025$0.85-93%
Q1 2025$4.48-63%
Q4 2024$7.40-39%

HRI has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

HRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $832MQ1 2024: $804MQ2 2024: $848MQ3 2024: $965MQ4 2024: $951MQ1 2025: $861MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $832MQ1 2024: $804MQ2 2024: $848MQ3 2024: $965MQ4 2024: $951MQ1 2025: $861MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.2B+20%
Q1 2026$1.1B+32%
Q4 2025$1.2B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+35%
Q2 2025$1B+18%
Q1 2025$861M+7.1%
Q4 2024$951M+14%

HRI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over HRI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $210MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $280MQ4 2024: $297MQ1 2025: $138MQ2 2025: $194MQ3 2025: $315MQ4 2025: $281MQ1 2026: $236MQ2 2026: $273MQ3 2026: $335M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $210MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $280MQ4 2024: $297MQ1 2025: $138MQ2 2025: $194MQ3 2025: $315MQ4 2025: $281MQ1 2026: $236MQ2 2026: $273MQ3 2026: $335M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$335M+6.3%
Q2 2026$273M+41%
Q1 2026$236M+71%
Q4 2025$281M-5.4%
Q3 2025$315M+13%
Q2 2025$194M-30%
Q1 2025$138M-34%
Q4 2024$297M+800%

HRI has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

HRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.6%+200K shares
3 years+18%+5M shares
5 years+9.8%+3M shares
Available history+15%+4.4M shares

HRI has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

HRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.2xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 9.6xQ1 2025: 12.0xQ2 2025: 39.3xQ3 2025: 65.6xQ4 2025: 35.5xQ1 2026: 31.8xQ2 2026: 22.5xQ3 2026: 18.3x
Q4 2023: 7.2xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 9.6xQ1 2025: 12.0xQ2 2025: 39.3xQ3 2025: 65.6xQ4 2025: 35.5xQ1 2026: 31.8xQ2 2026: 22.5xQ3 2026: 18.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202618.3xHigh
Q2 202622.5xHigh
Q1 202631.8xHigh
Q4 202535.5xHigh
Q3 202565.6xHigh
Q2 202539.3xHigh
Q1 202512.0xHigh
Q4 20249.6xHigh

HRI's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.3Neutral
Stochastic73.8Neutral

HRI's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

HRI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHRISector medianRelative
PE43x24x78% above
PE %895831 pts above

HRI is trading at 43x earnings, a 78% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$141.418% above
20 week MA$147.413% above
50 week MA$141.917% above
100 week MA$141.518% above
200 week MA$142.017% above

HRI has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

HRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$49.1$66.6+35%
2021$66.6$158.5+138%
2022$158.5$129.5-18%
2023$129.5$148.9+15%
2024$148.9$189.6+27%
2025$189.6$156.5-17%
2026 YTD$156.5$166.5+6.4%

HRI has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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