HRI
Herc Holdings Inc.
HRI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over HRI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
HRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
HRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
HRI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $44.73 | -73% |
| Forward | 16x | $167 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $70.08 | -58% |
| Expensive | 31x | $122 | -27% |
| Current | 43x | $167 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HRI's PE is in its expensive range at 43x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HRI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HRI, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
HRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.66 | +175% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.88 | +$6.41 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.68 | +98% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.06 | -101% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.03 | -100% |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.53 | -121% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.85 | -93% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.48 | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.40 | -39% |
HRI has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
HRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $861M | +7.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $951M | +14% |
HRI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2% | -1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9% | -14 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4.6% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9% | -11 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4.5% | -30 points |
HRI has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $335M | +6.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $273M | +41% |
| Q1 2026 | $236M | +71% |
| Q4 2025 | $281M | -5.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $315M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $194M | -30% |
| Q1 2025 | $138M | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $297M | +800% |
HRI has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
HRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +200K shares |
| 3 years | +18% | +5M shares |
| 5 years | +9.8% | +3M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +4.4M shares |
HRI has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $13M |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $63M |
| Q1 2023 | $44M |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
HRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 22.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 31.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 35.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 65.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 39.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 12.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.6x | High |
HRI's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
HRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.8 | Neutral |
HRI's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
HRI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | HRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 43x | 24x | 78% above |
| PE % | 89 | 58 | 31 pts above |
HRI is trading at 43x earnings, a 78% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $141.4 | 18% above |
| 20 week MA | $147.4 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $141.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $141.5 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $142.0 | 17% above |
HRI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
HRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $49.1 | $66.6 | +35% |
| 2021 | $66.6 | $158.5 | +138% |
| 2022 | $158.5 | $129.5 | -18% |
| 2023 | $129.5 | $148.9 | +15% |
| 2024 | $148.9 | $189.6 | +27% |
| 2025 | $189.6 | $156.5 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $156.5 | $166.5 | +6.4% |
HRI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 6.4% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over HRI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.