HQY

HealthEquity, Inc.

76
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

HQY has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

HQY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

HQY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

HQY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1774x3548x5323x7097x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1774x3548x5323x7097x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$103—
Current37x$103—
Cheap41x$112+9%
Fair87x$242+135%
Expensive1,293x$3,580+3374%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HQY's PE is in its cheap range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over HQY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HQY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

HQY has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HQY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$134.29
Downside-16%$87.06

Calculated from the latest close: $103.05 on Nov 12.

HQY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails HQY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HQY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.34Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $1.20Q4 2024: $1.09Q1 2025: $1.09Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.65Q4 2025: $2.18Q1 2026: $2.46Q2 2026: $2.67Q3 2026: $2.77Forward: $5.23
Q4 2023: $0.34Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $1.20Q4 2024: $1.09Q1 2025: $1.09Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.65Q4 2025: $2.18Q1 2026: $2.46Q2 2026: $2.67Q3 2026: $2.77Forward: $5.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.23+89%
Q3 2026$2.77+68%
Q2 2026$2.67+95%
Q1 2026$2.46+126%
Q4 2025$2.18+100%
Q3 2025$1.65+38%
Q2 2025$1.37+49%
Q1 2025$1.09+70%
Q4 2024$1.09+221%

HQY has the edge over NVO on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

HQY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $249MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $288MQ3 2024: $300MQ4 2024: $300MQ1 2025: $312MQ2 2025: $331MQ3 2025: $326MQ4 2025: $322MQ1 2026: $335MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $351M
Q4 2023: $249MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $288MQ3 2024: $300MQ4 2024: $300MQ1 2025: $312MQ2 2025: $331MQ3 2025: $326MQ4 2025: $322MQ1 2026: $335MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $351M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.7M+7.6%
Q2 2026$354.6M+7.2%
Q1 2026$334.6M+7.3%
Q4 2025$322.2M+7.2%
Q3 2025$325.8M+8.6%
Q2 2025$330.8M+15%
Q1 2025$311.8M+19%
Q4 2024$300.4M+21%

HQY's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $351M last quarter, up 7.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

HQY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $118MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $118MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$135.2M+0.1%
Q2 2026$97.2M+50%
Q1 2026$117.6M+56%
Q4 2025$137.8M+53%
Q3 2025$135.1M+26%
Q2 2025$64.7M-0.1%
Q1 2025$75.4M-1.4%
Q4 2024$90.3M+60%

HQY has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

HQY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 89MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 88MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 89MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 88MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-992K shares
1 year-4.3%-3.7M shares
3 years-2.7%-2.3M shares
5 years+0.6%+533K shares
Available history+19%+13.5M shares

HQY has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HQY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

HQY's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over HQY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HQY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic73.0Neutral

HQY's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

HQY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricHQYSector medianRelative
PE37x26x44% above
PE %132916 pts below

HQY is trading at 37x earnings, a 44% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over HQY on valuation relative to its sector.

HQY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.06.2% above
20 week MA$97.95.3% above
50 week MA$90.314% above
100 week MA$93.510% above
200 week MA$83.224% above

HQY has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

HQY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.0$68.3-7.7%
2021$68.3$44.9-34%
2022$44.9$61.6+37%
2023$61.6$66.3+7.6%
2024$66.3$96.3+45%
2025$96.3$93.5-2.9%
2026 YTD$93.5$103.1+10%

HQY has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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