HPQ

HP Inc.

56
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

HPQ trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over HPQ overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

HPQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

HPQ's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HPQ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.9x7.8x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.9x7.8x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$19.05-34%
Forward9.3x$28.88—
Fair9.8x$25.65-11%
Current11x$28.88—
Expensive12x$31.53+9.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HPQ's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.3x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over HPQ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HPQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect HPQ's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over HPQ on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HPQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$36.13
Downside-19%$23.33

Calculated from the latest close: $28.88 on Nov 12.

HPQ trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HPQ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HPQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.29Q1 2024: $3.42Q2 2024: $2.96Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.78Q2 2025: $2.59Q3 2025: $2.74Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.64Q2 2026: $2.71Q3 2026: $2.62Forward: $3.11
Q4 2023: $3.29Q1 2024: $3.42Q2 2024: $2.96Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.78Q2 2025: $2.59Q3 2025: $2.74Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.64Q2 2026: $2.71Q3 2026: $2.62Forward: $3.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.11+19%
Q3 2026$2.62-4.4%
Q2 2026$2.71+4.6%
Q1 2026$2.64-5%
Q4 2025$2.65-5.7%
Q3 2025$2.74-3.9%
Q2 2025$2.59-13%
Q1 2025$2.78-19%
Q4 2024$2.81-15%

HPQ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.62 over the past year, against $5.61 in mid-2022.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over HPQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HPQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.8BQ1 2024: $13.2BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $13.5BQ2 2025: $13.2BQ3 2025: $13.9BQ4 2025: $14.6BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $14.4BQ3 2026: $15.7B
Q4 2023: $13.8BQ1 2024: $13.2BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $13.5BQ2 2025: $13.2BQ3 2025: $13.9BQ4 2025: $14.6BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $14.4BQ3 2026: $15.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$15.7B+13%
Q2 2026$14.4B+9%
Q1 2026$14.4B+6.9%
Q4 2025$14.6B+4.2%
Q3 2025$13.9B+3.1%
Q2 2025$13.2B+3.3%
Q1 2025$13.5B+2.4%
Q4 2024$14.1B+1.7%

HPQ's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $15.7B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over HPQ on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HPQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $462MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: −$145MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $756MQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $462MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: −$145MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $756MQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+7.1%
Q2 2026$756M+$901M
Q1 2026$150M+108%
Q4 2025$1.4B-2.9%
Q3 2025$1.4B+15%
Q2 2025-$145M-131%
Q1 2025$72M+$109M
Q4 2024$1.5B-19%

HPQ has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

HPQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 990MQ3 2024: 990MQ4 2024: 989MQ1 2025: 957MQ2 2025: 956MQ3 2025: 954MQ4 2025: 953MQ1 2026: 932MQ2 2026: 925MQ3 2026: 927M
Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 990MQ3 2024: 990MQ4 2024: 989MQ1 2025: 957MQ2 2025: 956MQ3 2025: 954MQ4 2025: 953MQ1 2026: 932MQ2 2026: 925MQ3 2026: 927M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+2M shares
1 year-2.8%-27M shares
3 years-7.5%-75M shares
5 years-23%-272M shares
Available history-39%-597M shares

HPQ has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HPQ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

HPQ's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over HPQ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HPQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic23.8Neutral

HPQ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

HPQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHPQSector medianRelative
PE11x28x60% below
PE %693534 pts above

HPQ has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

HPQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.45.1% below
20 week MA$29.52.2% below
50 week MA$24.717% above
100 week MA$26.210% above
200 week MA$28.80.5% above

HPQ has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 0.5% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over HPQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HPQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.5$24.3+18%
2021$24.3$37.7+55%
2022$37.7$26.8-29%
2023$26.8$30.1+12%
2024$30.1$33.3+11%
2025$33.3$23.3-30%
2026 YTD$23.3$28.9+24%

HPQ has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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