HPK

HighPeak Energy, Inc.

57
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

HPK lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover, though they disagree widely on how much.

HPK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

HPK's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

HPK PE Valuation

HPK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HPK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HPK's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HPK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$13.96
Downside-40%$4.97

Calculated from the latest close: $8.33 on Nov 12.

HPK's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +68% against −40%.

HPK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.58Q1 2024: $1.24Q2 2024: $1.20Q3 2024: $1.27Q4 2024: $0.67Q1 2025: $0.88Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $-1.14Q2 2026: $-0.74Q3 2026: $-1.03Forward: $0.40
Q4 2023: $1.58Q1 2024: $1.24Q2 2024: $1.20Q3 2024: $1.27Q4 2024: $0.67Q1 2025: $0.88Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $-1.14Q2 2026: $-0.74Q3 2026: $-1.03Forward: $0.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.40—
Q3 2026-$1.03-386%
Q2 2026-$0.74-186%
Q1 2026-$1.14-230%
Q4 2025$0.14-79%
Q3 2025$0.36-72%
Q2 2025$0.86-28%
Q1 2025$0.88-29%
Q4 2024$0.67-58%

HPK has swung to a loss: it lost $1.03 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HPK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $301MQ1 2024: $288MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $272MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $257MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $217MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $272MQ3 2026: $257M
Q4 2023: $301MQ1 2024: $288MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $272MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $257MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $217MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $272MQ3 2026: $257M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$256.8M+36%
Q2 2026$272.4M+36%
Q1 2026$215.9M-16%
Q4 2025$216.6M-7.7%
Q3 2025$188.9M-30%
Q2 2025$200.4M-27%
Q1 2025$257.4M-11%
Q4 2024$234.8M-22%

HPK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $257M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.

HPK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $235MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $177MQ4 2024: $140MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $120MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $110M
Q4 2023: $235MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $177MQ4 2024: $140MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $120MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $110M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$109.6M-8.9%
Q2 2026$126.3M-11%
Q1 2026$54.2M-65%
Q4 2025$93.1M-33%
Q3 2025$120.2M-32%
Q2 2025$141.2M-30%
Q1 2025$157.1M-8.4%
Q4 2024$139.5M-41%

HPK still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $383M over the past year.

HPK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 130MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 129MQ4 2024: 129MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 125MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 126MQ3 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 130MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 129MQ4 2024: 129MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 125MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 126MQ3 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.1M shares
1 year+0.4%+523K shares
3 years-1.3%-1.7M shares
5 years+35%+32.7M shares
Available history+37%+33.7M shares

HPK has 125M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HPK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20262.1xModerate
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

HPK's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

HPK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.0Neutral
Stochastic39.9Neutral

HPK's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

HPK PE vs Energy Sector

MetricHPKSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

HPK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HPK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.098.4% below
20 week MA$8.231.2% above
50 week MA$6.8122% above
100 week MA$8.390.7% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

HPK's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

HPK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$14.6+41%
2021$14.6$15.0+3%
2022$15.0$22.1+47%
2023$22.1$14.2-36%
2024$14.2$14.4+1.3%
2025$14.4$4.27-70%
2026 YTD$4.27$8.33+95%

HPK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 95% so far in 2026.

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