HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company

65
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

HPE has the edge over OUST overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

OUST

Ouster, Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

OUST offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

HPE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

OUST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$12.41-75%
Forward11x$50.16—
Fair16x$30.89-38%
Expensive26x$49.82-0.7%
Current26x$50.16—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HPE's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OUST PE Valuation

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HPE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OUST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$83.23
Downside-17%$41.61

Calculated from the latest close: $50.16 on Nov 12.

HPE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OUST, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OUST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$68.75
Downside-46%$19.69

Calculated from the latest close: $36.60 on Nov 12.

OUST trails HPE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.68+141%
Q3 2026$1.94+128%
Q2 2026$1.09+6.9%
Q1 2026-$0.17-108%
Q4 2025-$0.04-102%
Q3 2025$0.85-39%
Q2 2025$1.02-26%
Q1 2025$2.08+43%
Q4 2024$1.93+25%

HPE has the edge over OUST on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OUST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.98
Q2 2026-$0.82+$0.98
Q1 2026-$0.93+$1.02
Q4 2025-$1.07+$1.01
Q3 2025-$1.63+$0.98
Q2 2025-$1.80+$1.16
Q1 2025-$1.95+$3.67
Q4 2024-$2.08+$9.02

OUST is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $40.12 at its worst in late 2020.

HPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.2B+34%
Q2 2026$10.7B+40%
Q1 2026$9.3B+18%
Q4 2025$9.7B+14%
Q3 2025$9.1B+18%
Q2 2025$7.6B+5.9%
Q1 2025$7.9B+16%
Q4 2024$8.5B+15%

HPE's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $12.2B last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

OUST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$59.3M+50%
Q2 2026$54.6M+56%
Q1 2026$48.6M+49%
Q4 2025$62.2M+107%
Q3 2025$39.5M+41%
Q2 2025$35M+30%
Q1 2025$32.6M+26%
Q4 2024$30.1M+23%

OUST has the edge over HPE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$896M+23%
Q2 2026$827M+$1.8B
Q1 2026$609M+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1.8B+28%
Q3 2025$729M+19%
Q2 2025-$1B-289%
Q1 2025-$918M-$326M
Q4 2024$1.4B-34%

HPE has the edge over OUST on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OUST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35M-$15M
Q2 2026-$15.4M-$13.2M
Q1 2026-$9.8M-$4.4M
Q4 2025-$37.2M-$33.2M
Q3 2025-$20M-$15.7M
Q2 2025-$2.2M+$19.8M
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$1.7M
Q4 2024-$4M+$20.6M

OUST has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$97M over the past year, against −$32M the year before.

HPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+17M shares
1 year+2%+28M shares
3 years+10%+133M shares
5 years+8.3%+111M shares
Available history+6.1%+83M shares

HPE has the edge over OUST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OUST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.3%+5.5M shares
1 year+23%+13.5M shares
3 years+82%+32.2M shares
5 years+1183%+65.9M shares
Available history+6407%+70.4M shares

OUST has 71M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

HPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20266.4xHigh
Q4 20257.2xHigh
Q3 20256.9xHigh
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

HPE's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.9 years a year ago.

OUST Net Leverage

OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

HPE's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

OUST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

HPE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHPESector medianRelative
PE26x28x7.2% below
PE %833548 pts above

HPE is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OUST PE vs Technology Sector

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.514% below
20 week MA$54.68.1% below
50 week MA$38.829% above
100 week MA$29.670% above
200 week MA$23.5114% above

HPE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 114% above its 200-week average.

OUST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.91.9% above
20 week MA$38.14% below
50 week MA$31.317% above
100 week MA$24.947% above
200 week MA$16.3125% above

OUST has the edge over HPE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.9$11.8-26%
2021$11.8$15.8+34%
2022$15.8$15.8-0.1%
2023$15.8$17.0+7.8%
2024$17.0$21.7+28%
2025$21.7$24.5+13%
2026 YTD$24.5$50.2+105%

HPE has the edge over OUST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OUST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$162.5+68%
2021$162.5$53.8-67%
2022$53.8$8.88-83%
2023$8.88$7.67-14%
2024$7.67$12.5+63%
2025$12.5$22.0+76%
2026 YTD$22.0$36.6+67%

OUST is up 67% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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