HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company

65
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

HPE has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

HPE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

HPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$12.41-75%
Forward11x$50.16—
Fair16x$30.89-38%
Expensive26x$49.82-0.7%
Current26x$50.16—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HPE's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over HPE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HPE has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$83.23
Downside-17%$41.61

Calculated from the latest close: $50.16 on Nov 12.

HPE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails HPE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.68+141%
Q3 2026$1.94+128%
Q2 2026$1.09+6.9%
Q1 2026-$0.17-108%
Q4 2025-$0.04-102%
Q3 2025$0.85-39%
Q2 2025$1.02-26%
Q1 2025$2.08+43%
Q4 2024$1.93+25%

HPE has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

HPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.2B+34%
Q2 2026$10.7B+40%
Q1 2026$9.3B+18%
Q4 2025$9.7B+14%
Q3 2025$9.1B+18%
Q2 2025$7.6B+5.9%
Q1 2025$7.9B+16%
Q4 2024$8.5B+15%

HPE has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

HPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$896M+23%
Q2 2026$827M+$1.8B
Q1 2026$609M+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1.8B+28%
Q3 2025$729M+19%
Q2 2025-$1B-289%
Q1 2025-$918M-$326M
Q4 2024$1.4B-34%

HPE has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

HPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+17M shares
1 year+2%+28M shares
3 years+10%+133M shares
5 years+8.3%+111M shares
Available history+6.1%+83M shares

HPE has 1.4B diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over HPE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20266.4xHigh
Q4 20257.2xHigh
Q3 20256.9xHigh
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

HPE's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.9 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over HPE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

HPE's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

HPE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHPESector medianRelative
PE26x28x7.2% below
PE %833548 pts above

HPE has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

HPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.514% below
20 week MA$54.68.1% below
50 week MA$38.829% above
100 week MA$29.670% above
200 week MA$23.5114% above

HPE has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

HPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.9$11.8-26%
2021$11.8$15.8+34%
2022$15.8$15.8-0.1%
2023$15.8$17.0+7.8%
2024$17.0$21.7+28%
2025$21.7$24.5+13%
2026 YTD$24.5$50.2+105%

HPE has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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