HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company

65
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

HPE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over HPE overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

HPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

HPE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$12.41-75%
Forward11x$50.16—
Fair16x$30.89-38%
Expensive26x$49.82-0.7%
Current26x$50.16—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HPE's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over HPE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HPE has the edge over NFLX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

HPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$83.23
Downside-17%$41.61

Calculated from the latest close: $50.16 on Nov 12.

HPE trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HPE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.68+141%
Q3 2026$1.94+128%
Q2 2026$1.09+6.9%
Q1 2026-$0.17-108%
Q4 2025-$0.04-102%
Q3 2025$0.85-39%
Q2 2025$1.02-26%
Q1 2025$2.08+43%
Q4 2024$1.93+25%

HPE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.94 over the past year, against $2.82 in mid-2022.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over HPE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.2B+34%
Q2 2026$10.7B+40%
Q1 2026$9.3B+18%
Q4 2025$9.7B+14%
Q3 2025$9.1B+18%
Q2 2025$7.6B+5.9%
Q1 2025$7.9B+16%
Q4 2024$8.5B+15%

HPE has the edge over NFLX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $12.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

HPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$896M+23%
Q2 2026$827M+$1.8B
Q1 2026$609M+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1.8B+28%
Q3 2025$729M+19%
Q2 2025-$1B-289%
Q1 2025-$918M-$326M
Q4 2024$1.4B-34%

HPE generated $4.2B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over HPE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+17M shares
1 year+2%+28M shares
3 years+10%+133M shares
5 years+8.3%+111M shares
Available history+6.1%+83M shares

HPE has 1.4B diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over HPE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20266.4xHigh
Q4 20257.2xHigh
Q3 20256.9xHigh
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

HPE's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.9 years a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over HPE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

HPE's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

HPE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHPESector medianRelative
PE26x28x7.2% below
PE %833548 pts above

HPE has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

HPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.514% below
20 week MA$54.68.1% below
50 week MA$38.829% above
100 week MA$29.670% above
200 week MA$23.5114% above

HPE has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

HPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.9$11.8-26%
2021$11.8$15.8+34%
2022$15.8$15.8-0.1%
2023$15.8$17.0+7.8%
2024$17.0$21.7+28%
2025$21.7$24.5+13%
2026 YTD$24.5$50.2+105%

HPE has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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