HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
HOV's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over HOV overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
HOV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
HOV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
HOV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.4x | $1.23 | -99% |
| Fair | 4.7x | $4.20 | -96% |
| Expensive | 17x | $14.69 | -85% |
| Current | 107x | $95.33 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOV's PE is in its expensive range at 107x.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA has the edge over HOV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect HOV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.89 | -96% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.58 | -87% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.47 | -80% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.43 | -77% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.47 | -36% |
| Q2 2025 | $28.23 | -5% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.46 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $31.79 | +18% |
HOV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.89 over the past year, against $86.18 in early 2022.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
HOV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $705.7M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $667.6M | -2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $632M | -6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $817.9M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $800.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $686.5M | -3.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $673.6M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $979.6M | +10% |
HOV's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $706M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9% | -1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2% | -8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.5% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -3.2 points |
HOV's operating margin was −0.9% last quarter, down 1.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over HOV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA has the edge over HOV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HOV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$27.9M | -161% |
| Q2 2026 | -$70.5M | -541% |
| Q1 2026 | $132.1M | +$191.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $164M | +47% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.8M | +$141.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $16M | -81% |
| Q1 2025 | -$59.6M | +$34.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $111.4M | -19% |
HOV has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
HOV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -4K shares |
| 1 year | -6.9% | -475K shares |
| 3 years | -4.4% | -293K shares |
| 5 years | +0.7% | +44K shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +430K shares |
HOV has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $78,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $9.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $9M |
| Q4 2025 | $58,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $94,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $12.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $11,000 |
HOV spent $19M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 39% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
HOV Net Leverage
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has more cash than debt.
HOV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.9 | Oversold |
HOV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
HOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HOV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 107x | 18x | 494% above |
| PE % | 97 | 47 | 50 pts above |
HOV has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HOV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.0 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $118.5 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $115.7 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $117.6 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 23% below |
HOV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over HOV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.1 | $36.2 | +71% |
| 2021 | $36.2 | $125.5 | +247% |
| 2022 | $125.5 | $46.9 | -63% |
| 2023 | $46.9 | $155.6 | +232% |
| 2024 | $155.6 | $133.3 | -14% |
| 2025 | $133.3 | $101.8 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $101.8 | $95.3 | -6.3% |
HOV has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.