HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
HOV's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over HOV overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
HOV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
HOV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
HOV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.4x | $1.23 | -99% |
| Fair | 4.7x | $4.20 | -96% |
| Expensive | 17x | $14.69 | -85% |
| Current | 107x | $95.33 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOV's PE is in its expensive range at 107x.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over HOV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect HOV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.89 | -96% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.58 | -87% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.47 | -80% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.43 | -77% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.47 | -36% |
| Q2 2025 | $28.23 | -5% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.46 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $31.79 | +18% |
HOV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.89 over the past year, against $86.18 in early 2022.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
HOV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $705.7M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $667.6M | -2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $632M | -6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $817.9M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $800.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $686.5M | -3.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $673.6M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $979.6M | +10% |
HOV's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $706M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9% | -1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2% | -8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.5% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -3.2 points |
HOV's operating margin was −0.9% last quarter, down 1.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE has the edge over HOV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over HOV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HOV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$27.9M | -161% |
| Q2 2026 | -$70.5M | -541% |
| Q1 2026 | $132.1M | +$191.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $164M | +47% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.8M | +$141.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $16M | -81% |
| Q1 2025 | -$59.6M | +$34.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $111.4M | -19% |
HOV has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
HOV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -4K shares |
| 1 year | -6.9% | -475K shares |
| 3 years | -4.4% | -293K shares |
| 5 years | +0.7% | +44K shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +430K shares |
HOV has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $78,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $9.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $9M |
| Q4 2025 | $58,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $94,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $12.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $11,000 |
HOV spent $19M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 39% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
HOV Net Leverage
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
HOV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.9 | Oversold |
HOV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
HOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HOV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 107x | 18x | 494% above |
| PE % | 97 | 47 | 50 pts above |
HOV is trading at 107x earnings, a 494% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over HOV on valuation relative to its sector.
HOV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.0 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $118.5 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $115.7 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $117.6 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 23% below |
HOV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over HOV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.1 | $36.2 | +71% |
| 2021 | $36.2 | $125.5 | +247% |
| 2022 | $125.5 | $46.9 | -63% |
| 2023 | $46.9 | $155.6 | +232% |
| 2024 | $155.6 | $133.3 | -14% |
| 2025 | $133.3 | $101.8 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $101.8 | $95.3 | -6.3% |
HOV has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.