HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
HOV's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has the edge over HOV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
HOV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
HOV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
HOV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.4x | $1.23 | -99% |
| Fair | 4.7x | $4.20 | -96% |
| Expensive | 17x | $14.69 | -85% |
| Current | 107x | $95.33 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOV's PE is in its expensive range at 107x.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HOV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect HOV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.89 | -96% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.58 | -87% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.47 | -80% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.43 | -77% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.47 | -36% |
| Q2 2025 | $28.23 | -5% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.46 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $31.79 | +18% |
HOV has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
HOV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $705.7M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $667.6M | -2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $632M | -6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $817.9M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $800.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $686.5M | -3.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $673.6M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $979.6M | +10% |
HOV's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $706M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9% | -1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2% | -8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.5% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -3.2 points |
HOV has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over HOV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
HOV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$27.9M | -161% |
| Q2 2026 | -$70.5M | -541% |
| Q1 2026 | $132.1M | +$191.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $164M | +47% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.8M | +$141.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $16M | -81% |
| Q1 2025 | -$59.6M | +$34.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $111.4M | -19% |
HOV has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
HOV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -4K shares |
| 1 year | -6.9% | -475K shares |
| 3 years | -4.4% | -293K shares |
| 5 years | +0.7% | +44K shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +430K shares |
HOV has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $78,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $9.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $9M |
| Q4 2025 | $58,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $94,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $12.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $11,000 |
HOV spent $19M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 39% from the year before.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
HOV Net Leverage
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
HOV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.9 | Oversold |
HOV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
HOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HOV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 107x | 18x | 494% above |
| PE % | 97 | 47 | 50 pts above |
HOV is trading at 107x earnings, a 494% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HOV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.0 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $118.5 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $115.7 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $117.6 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 23% below |
HOV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
HOV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.1 | $36.2 | +71% |
| 2021 | $36.2 | $125.5 | +247% |
| 2022 | $125.5 | $46.9 | -63% |
| 2023 | $46.9 | $155.6 | +232% |
| 2024 | $155.6 | $133.3 | -14% |
| 2025 | $133.3 | $101.8 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $101.8 | $95.3 | -6.3% |
HOV has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.