HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over XP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

XP

XP Inc.

55
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

XP trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

XP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

XP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like XP.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

XP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.3x$15.04—
Cheap10x$18.35+22%
Fair15x$27.61+84%
Expensive59x$106+606%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XP has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over XP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

XP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect XP's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HOOD and XP's risk to reward.

XP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $15.04 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HOOD and XP's risk to reward.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

XP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.19Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.39Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.81
Q3 2023: $1.19Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.39Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.81+11%
Q1 2026$1.76+14%
Q4 2025$1.74+18%
Q3 2025$1.68+17%
Q2 2025$1.63+17%
Q1 2025$1.55+15%
Q4 2024$1.48+16%
Q3 2024$1.43+20%

XP has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over XP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $770MQ4 2023: $731MQ1 2024: $749MQ2 2024: $835MQ3 2024: $780MQ4 2024: $851MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $785MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $906MQ1 2026: $826MQ2 2026: $894M
Q3 2023: $770MQ4 2023: $731MQ1 2024: $749MQ2 2024: $835MQ3 2024: $780MQ4 2024: $851MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $785MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $906MQ1 2026: $826MQ2 2026: $894M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$894.2M+14%
Q1 2026$826.4M+6.9%
Q4 2025$906.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$822.2M+5.5%
Q2 2025$784.5M-6%
Q1 2025$773.3M+3.3%
Q4 2024$850.9M+16%
Q3 2024$779.6M+1.3%

XP's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $894M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

XP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$254MQ4 2023: $749MQ1 2024: −$607MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $818MQ4 2024: $679MQ1 2025: −$475MQ2 2025: $832MQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: −$437MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $2B
Q3 2023: −$254MQ4 2023: $749MQ1 2024: −$607MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $818MQ4 2024: $679MQ1 2025: −$475MQ2 2025: $832MQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: −$437MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2B+139%
Q1 2026$124.3M+$599.5M
Q4 2025-$437.1M-164%
Q3 2025$2.2B+166%
Q2 2025$832.5M-22%
Q1 2025-$475.2M+$132.3M
Q4 2024$679M-9.3%
Q3 2024$818M+$1.1B

XP's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, up 108% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like XP.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

XP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 554MQ4 2023: 554MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 551MQ3 2024: 546MQ4 2024: 540MQ1 2025: 540MQ2 2025: 536MQ3 2025: 535MQ4 2025: 520MQ1 2026: 525MQ2 2026: 521M
Q3 2023: 554MQ4 2023: 554MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 551MQ3 2024: 546MQ4 2024: 540MQ1 2025: 540MQ2 2025: 536MQ3 2025: 535MQ4 2025: 520MQ1 2026: 525MQ2 2026: 521M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.8M shares
1 year-2.8%-15.3M shares
3 years-2.1%-11M shares
5 years-9%-51.7M shares
Available history-5.7%-31.3M shares

XP has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over XP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

XP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 8.5xQ4 2023: 13.5xQ1 2024: 9.2xQ2 2024: 8.8xQ3 2024: 8.0xQ4 2024: 17.6xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 10.2xQ3 2025: 9.7xQ4 2025: 11.9xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 12.9x
Q3 2023: 8.5xQ4 2023: 13.5xQ1 2024: 9.2xQ2 2024: 8.8xQ3 2024: 8.0xQ4 2024: 17.6xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 10.2xQ3 2025: 9.7xQ4 2025: 11.9xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 12.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202612.9xHigh
Q1 202612.8xHigh
Q4 202511.9xHigh
Q3 20259.7xHigh
Q2 202510.2xHigh
Q1 20258.4xHigh
Q4 202417.6xHigh
Q3 20248.0xHigh

XP's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 10 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like XP.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

XP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic5.5Oversold

XP's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

XP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricXPSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %26361 pts below

XP has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has the edge over XP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.333% below
20 week MA$19.422% below
50 week MA$18.719% below
100 week MA$17.614% below
200 week MA$18.820% below

XP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

XP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$37.7$38.5+2.1%
2020$38.5$41.4+7.4%
2021$41.4$29.8-28%
2022$29.8$15.5-48%
2023$15.5$26.1+68%
2024$26.1$12.1-54%
2025$12.1$16.4+36%
2026 YTD$16.4$15.0-8.5%

XP has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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