HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has a slight edge over WAL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

WAL

Western Alliance Bancorporation

57
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

WAL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

WAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WAL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WAL.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over WAL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.2x$65.13-12%
Forward7.2x$74.39—
Current8.2x$74.39—
Fair9.4x$84.88+14%
Expensive13x$118+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAL's PE is in its cheap range at 8.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WAL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WAL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$98.72
Downside-16%$62.31

Calculated from the latest close: $74.39 on Nov 12.

WAL trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

WAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.54Q1 2024: $6.86Q2 2024: $6.65Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $7.09Q1 2025: $7.28Q2 2025: $7.60Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $8.73Q1 2026: $8.59Q2 2026: $8.88Q3 2026: $9.05Forward: $10.33
Q4 2023: $6.54Q1 2024: $6.86Q2 2024: $6.65Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $7.09Q1 2025: $7.28Q2 2025: $7.60Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $8.73Q1 2026: $8.59Q2 2026: $8.88Q3 2026: $9.05Forward: $10.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.33+14%
Q3 2026$9.05+12%
Q2 2026$8.88+17%
Q1 2026$8.59+18%
Q4 2025$8.73+23%
Q3 2025$8.08+25%
Q2 2025$7.60+14%
Q1 2025$7.28+6.1%
Q4 2024$7.09+8.4%

WAL has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over WAL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $682MQ1 2024: $729MQ2 2024: $772MQ3 2024: $823MQ4 2024: $838MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $846MQ3 2025: $938MQ4 2025: $981MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $996MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $682MQ1 2024: $729MQ2 2024: $772MQ3 2024: $823MQ4 2024: $838MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $846MQ3 2025: $938MQ4 2025: $981MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $996MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+8.1%
Q2 2026$995.7M+18%
Q1 2026$1B+31%
Q4 2025$980.9M+17%
Q3 2025$938.2M+14%
Q2 2025$845.9M+9.6%
Q1 2025$778M+6.8%
Q4 2024$838.4M+23%

WAL's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over WAL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

WAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: −$307MQ2 2024: −$746MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: −$622MQ1 2025: −$1.7BQ2 2025: −$358MQ3 2025: −$597MQ4 2025: −$70MQ1 2026: −$507MQ2 2026: −$356MQ3 2026: $770M
Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: −$307MQ2 2024: −$746MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: −$622MQ1 2025: −$1.7BQ2 2025: −$358MQ3 2025: −$597MQ4 2025: −$70MQ1 2026: −$507MQ2 2026: −$356MQ3 2026: $770M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$769.9M+$1.4B
Q2 2026-$356.1M+$1.6M
Q1 2026-$507.2M+$1.1B
Q4 2025-$69.8M+$551.9M
Q3 2025-$597.4M+$470.6M
Q2 2025-$357.7M+$388.1M
Q1 2025-$1.7B-$1.3B
Q4 2024-$621.7M-282%

WAL's free cash flow was −$163M over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAL.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

WAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 110MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 110MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-200K shares
1 year-1.8%-2M shares
3 years-0.6%-700K shares
5 years+3.8%+3.9M shares
Available history+4.5%+4.7M shares

WAL has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over WAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.8xElevated
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20244.8xHigh

WAL's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAL.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

WAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic30.1Neutral

WAL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WAL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWALSector medianRelative
PE8.2x13x37% below
PE %266337 pts below

WAL has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

WAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.61.7% below
20 week MA$78.75.5% below
50 week MA$80.57.6% below
100 week MA$80.37.4% below
200 week MA$70.16.2% above

WAL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 6.2% above its 200-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

WAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.0$59.9+5.1%
2021$59.9$105.7+76%
2022$105.7$58.1-45%
2023$58.1$65.8+13%
2024$65.8$83.7+27%
2025$83.7$86.6+3.4%
2026 YTD$86.6$74.4-14%

WAL has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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