HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TREE

LendingTree, Inc.

64
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

TREE has the edge over HOOD overall on the model score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

TREE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TREE's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TREE.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over TREE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TREE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE113x226x339x452x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE113x226x339x452x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.3x$23.41-34%
Current5x$35.31—
Forward5.5x$35.31—
Fair26x$184+421%
Expensive157x$1,107+3035%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TREE's PE is in its cheap range at 5.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.5x.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over TREE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

TREE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TREE, with profitability improving.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TREE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TREE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$48.11
Downside-47%$18.59

Calculated from the latest close: $35.31 on Nov 12.

TREE trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

TREE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-9.46Q1 2024: $-10.42Q2 2024: $-9.83Q3 2024: $-2.74Q4 2024: $-3.14Q1 2025: $-4.14Q2 2025: $-4.07Q3 2025: $1.00Q4 2025: $10.78Q1 2026: $12.92Q2 2026: $12.95Q3 2026: $7.07Forward: $6.42
Q4 2023: $-9.46Q1 2024: $-10.42Q2 2024: $-9.83Q3 2024: $-2.74Q4 2024: $-3.14Q1 2025: $-4.14Q2 2025: $-4.07Q3 2025: $1.00Q4 2025: $10.78Q1 2026: $12.92Q2 2026: $12.95Q3 2026: $7.07Forward: $6.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.42-9.1%
Q3 2026$7.07+607%
Q2 2026$12.95+$17.02
Q1 2026$12.92+$17.06
Q4 2025$10.78+$13.92
Q3 2025$1.00+$3.74
Q2 2025-$4.07+$5.76
Q1 2025-$4.14+$6.28
Q4 2024-$3.14+$6.32

TREE has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over TREE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TREE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $261MQ4 2024: $262MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $308MQ4 2025: $320MQ1 2026: $327MQ2 2026: $313MQ3 2026: $344M
Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $261MQ4 2024: $262MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $308MQ4 2025: $320MQ1 2026: $327MQ2 2026: $313MQ3 2026: $344M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$343.6M+12%
Q2 2026$313.4M+25%
Q1 2026$327.3M+37%
Q4 2025$319.7M+22%
Q3 2025$307.8M+18%
Q2 2025$250.1M+19%
Q1 2025$239.7M+43%
Q4 2024$261.5M+95%

TREE's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $344M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

TREE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.8M+28%
Q2 2026$26M+3.1%
Q1 2026$8.8M+$12.4M
Q4 2025$13.5M+0.8%
Q3 2025$25.6M-40%
Q2 2025$25.2M+$32.9M
Q1 2025-$3.6M-222%
Q4 2024$13.4M-27%

TREE's free cash flow was $81M over the past year, up 34% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TREE.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over TREE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TREE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-14K shares
1 year+0.4%+52K shares
3 years+8.1%+1M shares
5 years+5.8%+772K shares
Available history-4%-579K shares

TREE has 14M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over TREE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TREE Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 294.5xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 7.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 11.6x
Q2 2024: 294.5xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 7.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 11.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.6xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20257.6xHigh
Q4 20245.8xHigh

TREE's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TREE.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TREE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.1Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

TREE's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TREE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTREESector medianRelative
PE5x13x62% below
PE %256338 pts below

TREE has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

TREE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.425% above
20 week MA$32.010% above
50 week MA$40.112% below
100 week MA$44.521% below
200 week MA$39.19.7% below

TREE has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD has the edge over TREE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TREE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$294.4$277.5-5.8%
2021$277.5$125.9-55%
2022$125.9$18.9-85%
2023$18.9$30.3+60%
2024$30.3$39.3+29%
2025$39.3$54.4+39%
2026 YTD$54.4$35.3-35%

TREE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 35% so far in 2026.

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