HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over SPFI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
SPFI
South Plains Financial, Inc.
SPFI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
SPFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SPFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SPFI.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over SPFI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SPFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.2x | $27.16 | -37% |
| Fair | 8.5x | $31.98 | -25% |
| Forward | 10x | $42.80 | — |
| Current | 11x | $42.80 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $45.37 | +6% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SPFI's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over SPFI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SPFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SPFI, with profitability holding steady.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over SPFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SPFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.08 | +8.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.77 | +7.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.67 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.57 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.44 | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.50 | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.20 | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.00 | -20% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.92 | -19% |
SPFI earned $3.77 per share over the past year, up 7.7% from the year before.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over SPFI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over SPFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SPFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65.3M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.5M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.1M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $53.9M | +3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $54.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $54.7M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $49.2M | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $51.9M | +17% |
SPFI's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $65M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 38% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | -4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +8.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 40% | +10 points |
SPFI's operating margin was 40% last quarter, up 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
SPFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.8M | +106% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.8M | -41% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.4M | +262% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.5M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $13M | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $25M | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.1M | -52% |
SPFI's free cash flow was $84M over the past year, up 31% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SPFI.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over SPFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
SPFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -208K shares |
| 1 year | +15% | +2.6M shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +2.2M shares |
| 5 years | +6.2% | +1.1M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +2.6M shares |
SPFI has 20M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago, despite $13M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $12.8M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $276,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $8.3M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
SPFI spent $13M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 51% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
SPFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -8.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -7.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
SPFI has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
SPFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 45.1 | Neutral |
SPFI's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SPFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SPFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 13% below |
| PE % | 71 | 63 | 8 pts above |
SPFI has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
SPFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $43.0 | 0.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 2.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $42.3 | 1.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $39.3 | 9% above |
| 200 week MA | $33.5 | 28% above |
SPFI has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
SPFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.0 | $18.9 | -9.8% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $26.9 | +42% |
| 2022 | $26.9 | $28.3 | +5.1% |
| 2023 | $28.3 | $29.0 | +2.5% |
| 2024 | $29.0 | $35.0 | +21% |
| 2025 | $35.0 | $39.6 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.6 | $42.8 | +8.2% |
SPFI has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.